Defensor Sporting vs Juventud de Las Piedras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Guerrero S. 🟨,
  • 63', Peralta R. , Otormin L. ,
  • 66', Amaro M. , Wunsch N. ,
  • 72', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 77', Wunsch N. 🟨,
  • 81', Navarro L. , Biscayzacu X. ,
  • 81', Pacifico P. , Lozano B. ,
  • 81', Guerrero S. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 85', Morosini D. 🟨,
  • 87', Rossi I. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Wunsch N. ,
  • 90+2', Nongoy P. , Aja J. ,
  • 90+2', Perez F. , Gomez N. ,
  • 90+3', Agazzi L. , Saravia M. ,
  • 90+4', Furtado N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
42.6%
Draw
29.6%
Juventud de Las Piedras
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 28.9% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.54)
    3.16
    (3.22)
    3.36
    (2.69)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensor Sporting will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 1.
    • Defensor Sporting is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Juventud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Defensor Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
    Latest results of Juventud de Las Piedras
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo641112:6613
    2Maldonado641110:5513
    3Penarol64119:5413
    4Montevideo City63219:5411
    5Liverpool M63217:4311
    6Danubio632110:8211
    7Central Esp63127:5210
    8Nacional63127:6110
    9Defensor Sp62224:408
    10Wanderers62224:8-48
    11Cerro Largo62045:7-26
    12Albion61237:8-15
    13Progreso61235:10-55
    14Juventud61147:11-44
    15Boston River60242:7-52
    16CA Cerro60242:8-62

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