Defensor Sporting vs Juventud de Las Piedras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras
Result
1:0
05/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Guerrero S. 🟨,
  • 63', Peralta R. , Otormin L. ,
  • 66', Amaro M. , Wunsch N. ,
  • 72', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 77', Wunsch N. 🟨,
  • 81', Navarro L. , Biscayzacu X. ,
  • 81', Pacifico P. , Lozano B. ,
  • 81', Guerrero S. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 85', Morosini D. 🟨,
  • 87', Rossi I. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Wunsch N. ,
  • 90+2', Nongoy P. , Aja J. ,
  • 90+2', Perez F. , Gomez N. ,
  • 90+3', Agazzi L. , Saravia M. ,
  • 90+4', Furtado N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
42.6%
Draw
29.6%
Juventud de Las Piedras
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 28.9% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.54)
    3.16
    (3.22)
    3.36
    (2.69)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 1.
    • Defensor Sporting is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Juventud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Defensor Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
    Latest results of Juventud de Las Piedras
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River853017:41318
    2Montevideo City852116:9717
    3Nacional861119:81116
    4Penarol751115:6916
    5Cerro Largo85128:4416
    6Defensor Sp85036:8-215
    7Liverpool M833210:9112
    8Danubio831412:9310
    9Miramar831413:11210
    10Progreso831410:11-110
    11CA Cerro83147:10-310
    12Racing Montevideo83147:15-810
    13Juventud73045:7-29
    14Wanderers81162:11-94
    15River Plate80262:13-112
    16Plaza Colonia80175:19-141

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