Result
1:1
18/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Habib T. 🟨,
- 29', de los Santos L. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Habib T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Habib T. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,
- 54', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
- 65', Da Silva S. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
- 67', Varese F. 🟨,
- 73', Wunsch N. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽,
- 78', Ferreira M. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
- 78', De Los Santos E. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
- 80', Montenegro B. 🟨,
- 84', de los Santos L. 🟨,
- 85', Castro F. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 89', Machado A. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
46.1% | Draw
30% | Defensor Sporting
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.23) |
3.12 ↑
(2.97) |
3.88 ↑
(3.3) |
6.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting?
Users Predictions:
Racing Montevideo will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Montevideo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
- Racing is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Defensor Sporting has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Racing will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Racing Montevideo has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Racing Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
17.08.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
0:1
15.02.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Racing Montevideo
2:0
24.10.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Racing Montevideo
1:0
13.09.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Racing Montevideo
1:2
22.06.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
0:1
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
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