Platense vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Platense
43.7%
Draw
30.5%
Peñarol de Montevideo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.9% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.8% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.27)
    3.07
    (3.27)
    3.68
    (3.2)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Platense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Platense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Platense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    16.04.2026 Peñarol de Montevideo - Platense 1:2
    Latest results of Platense
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors42025:326
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC41032:6-43


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras42206:338
    2Sporting Cristal42024:406
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus42022:5-36
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready41034:403


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central43105:0510
    2Ind. del Valle42116:517
    3Universidad Central42026:7-16
    4Libertad Asuncion40043:8-50

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)