Juventud de Las Piedras vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
56
Corner kicks
24
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Total shots
149
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
93
Corner kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Mimbacas F. ,
  • 45+2', Andueza F. , Paolini M. ,
  • 45+4', Rocco L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Pereiro G. 🟨,
  • 60', Pereiro G. , Boselli J. ,
  • 67', Peralta R. , Perez F. ,
  • 67', Mimbacas F. , Guerrero S. ,
  • 68', Viera S. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 68', Copelotti M. , Paz A. ,
  • 68', De Leon F. , Codagnone A. ,
  • 73', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 76', Pernicone P. 🟨,
  • 81', Dos Santos J. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 86', Roldan L. , Izaguirre M. ,
  • 86', Cruz A. , Alaniz A. ,
  • 90+3', Paz A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Juventud de Las Piedras
43.7%
Draw
29.1%
Progreso
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 28.1% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The chances for Progreso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.11)
    3.18
    (3.2)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    7.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2.
    • Juventud is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Juventud might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso 0:1
    09.11.2025 Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso 1:1
    29.06.2025 Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso 2:0
    18.05.2025 Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras 1:2
    18.11.2023 Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras 2:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1372421:15623
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1363420:20021
    6Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    7Montevideo City1354419:14519
    8Nacional1361620:18219
    9Danubio1346317:17018
    10Liverpool M1345417:17017
    11Wanderers1352614:19-517
    12Cerro Largo1342713:16-314
    13Boston River1342711:17-614
    14Progreso1324711:20-910
    15CA Cerro132478:19-1110
    16Juventud1323813:20-79

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )