Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (233/296) | 85% (451/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (233/296) | 85% (451/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (36/55) | 71% (75/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Abner (A),
- 26', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
- 37', Jadson 🟨,
- 39', Enio 🟨,
- 42', Neris 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Erick ↑,
- 46', Neris ↓, Ze Marcos ↑,
- 50', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Gabriel Taliari ⚽,
- 68', Batalla E. 🟨,
- 68', Ewerthon ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
- 68', Enio ↓, Petterson ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
- 70', Ricardo 🟨,
- 73', Wellington Rato ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 74', Pepe ↓, Willian Oliveira ↑,
- 81', Alan Ruschel ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 89', Batalla E. ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude
42.9% | Draw
29.7% | Vitória Salvador
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Juventude - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.03) |
3.2 ↓
(3.34) |
3.44 ↓
(3.75) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1.
- Juventude is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Juventude could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Juventude have a series of guest games.
- Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juventude: Rodrigo Sam
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.5:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Vitória Salvador?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Juventude?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
21.09.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Juventude
1:0
11.06.2024
Juventude
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
29.10.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Juventude
0:0
02.07.2023
Juventude
-
Vitória Salvador
1:0
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
