Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (323/374) | 84% (305/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (323/374) | 84% (305/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 62% (34/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (87/120) | 76% (81/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Cipriano 🟥,
- 11', Batalla E. ↓, Angel W. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Cantalapiedra A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
- 46', Reginaldo ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
- 49', Abner 🟨,
- 53', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
- 66', Neris 🟥,
- 67', Osvaldo ↓, Edu ↑,
- 67', Gabriel Veron ↓, Enio ↑,
- 72', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Felipe Cardoso ↑,
- 72', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 73', Caique Goncalves ↓, Nene ↑,
- 77', Angel W. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Igor Formiga ⚽, Nene (A),
- 84', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 84', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 88', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 90+10', 2 - 2, Nene (Pen),
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
56.6% | Draw
25.9% | Juventude
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Vitória Salvador - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.79) |
3.71 ↑
(3.29) |
5.52 ↑
(4.99) |
4.3%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Juventude (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.
- Vitória has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Vitória is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas
(Injury)
Claudinho
(Ankle Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Heel Injury)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
Ronald Lopes
(Yellow Cards)
Willian Oliveira
(Injury)
Ze Marcos
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Juventude: Ewerthon
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Injury)
Lucas Fernandes
(Muscle Injury)
Marcos Paulo
(Muscle Injury)
Matheus Babi
(Yellow Cards)
Rafael Bilu
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Gustavo
(Personal Reasons)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Juventude?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Vitória Salvador?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Juventude were as follows:
29.03.2025
Juventude
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
21.09.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Juventude
1:0
11.06.2024
Juventude
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
29.10.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Juventude
0:0
02.07.2023
Juventude
-
Vitória Salvador
1:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
