Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kagoshima United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United
Result
1:1
21/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
311
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
311
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. , Higuchi D. (A),
  • 8', 1 - 1, Soma J. ,
  • 26', Sugii H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Ohashi H. 🟨,
  • 60', Fukuda M. 🟨,
  • 63', Fukuda M. , Endo M. ,
  • 64', Nduka C. , Rodrigo Angelotti ,
  • 68', Murakoshi K. , Taki Y. ,
  • 76', Yoshio K. , Tanaka T. ,
  • 76', Ohashi H. , Matsumura G. ,
  • 88', Yamaguchi T. , Yonezawa R. ,
  • 88', Kawamura K. , Kondo Y. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
32.3%
Draw
26.6%
Kagoshima United
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 23.9% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 24.2% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.9)
    3.48
    (3.8)
    2.24
    (2.02)
    8.3%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United were as follows:
    19.08.2023 Kagoshima United - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:2
    27.05.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United 2:4
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Kagoshima United
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure22144431:151646
    2Osaka22135435:161944
    3Tochigi City22135433:201344
    4Kagoshima Utd22108437:251238
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki2298528:23535
    6Nara Club2297629:25434
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu22103925:23233
    8Kochi United2287733:36-331
    9Yamaga2285925:27-229
    10Gainare Tottori22841022:25-328
    11Sagamihara2269723:27-427
    12Fukushima Utd2276935:47-1227
    13Ryukyu22751022:25-326
    14Kanazawa22751023:27-426
    15Tochigi SC22751017:21-426
    16Kusatsu2259830:34-424
    17Nagano22661017:25-824
    18Kamatamare22551221:28-720
    19Gifu22471124:36-1219
    20Azul Claro Numazu22391022:27-518

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation