Result
1:1
21/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. ⚽, Higuchi D. (A),
- 8', 1 - 1, Soma J. ⚽,
- 26', Sugii H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Ohashi H. 🟨,
- 60', Fukuda M. 🟨,
- 63', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
- 64', Nduka C. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
- 68', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 76', Yoshio K. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
- 76', Ohashi H. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
- 88', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
- 88', Kawamura K. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
32.3% | Draw
26.6% | Kagoshima United
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(2.9) |
3.48 ↓
(3.8) |
2.24 ↑
(2.02) |
8.3%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Kagoshima United?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Kagoshima United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United were as follows:
19.08.2023
Kagoshima United
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
0:2
27.05.2023
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Kagoshima United
2:4
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 45:37 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:62 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
