Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kagoshima United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United
Result
1:1
21/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
311
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
311
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. , Higuchi D. (A),
  • 8', 1 - 1, Soma J. ,
  • 26', Sugii H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Ohashi H. 🟨,
  • 60', Fukuda M. 🟨,
  • 63', Fukuda M. , Endo M. ,
  • 64', Nduka C. , Rodrigo Angelotti ,
  • 68', Murakoshi K. , Taki Y. ,
  • 76', Yoshio K. , Tanaka T. ,
  • 76', Ohashi H. , Matsumura G. ,
  • 88', Yamaguchi T. , Yonezawa R. ,
  • 88', Kawamura K. , Kondo Y. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
32.3%
Draw
26.6%
Kagoshima United
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 23.9% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 24.2% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.9)
    3.48
    (3.8)
    2.24
    (2.02)
    8.3%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United were as follows:
    19.08.2023 Kagoshima United - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:2
    27.05.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United 2:4
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Kagoshima United
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure30196537:172063
    2Tochigi City30186651:312060
    3Kagoshima Utd30159656:322454
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki30158747:351253
    5Osaka30157841:281352
    6Nara Club30139841:33848
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu301341331:29243
    8Tochigi SC301271131:29243
    9Kanazawa291251236:35141
    10Fukushima Utd301181149:59-1041
    11Gifu301081238:42-438
    12Sagamihara309101129:40-1137
    13Yamaga29991131:33-236
    14Gainare Tottori301061429:34-536
    15Ryukyu30971431:40-934
    16Kochi United30971437:51-1434
    17Nagano30781526:42-1629
    18Kusatsu306101439:48-928
    19Kamatamare30771635:47-1228
    20Azul Claro Numazu30591632:42-1024

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation