Kairat vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Kairat - Real Madrid
Result
0:5
30/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalySky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.32
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
412
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
77% (224/292)88% (542/614)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.46
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
412
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
96
Passes
77% (224/292)88% (542/614)
Long passes
35% (18/51)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
55% (41/75)79% (160/203)
Crosses
20% (2/10)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.66
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
69
Tackles
67% (14/21)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
2812
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
3.460.27
Goals prevented
-1.540.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 48', Gromyko V. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Courtois T. (A),
  • 55', Arad O. 🟨,
  • 64', Arad O. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
  • 64', Jorginho ↓, Edmilson Santos ↑,
  • 64', Tapalov E. ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
  • 70', Mastantuono F. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
  • 70', Vinicius Junior ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 74', 0 - 3, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
  • 80', Gromyko V. ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
  • 80', Satpaev D. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
  • 80', Guler A. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
  • 80', Tchouameni A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 81', Mbappe K. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
  • 83', 0 - 4, Camavinga E. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
  • 90+3', 0 - 5, Diaz B. ⚽, Garcia G. (A),

Chances of winning


Kairat
3.5%		Draw
7.7%		Real Madrid
88.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
3.6% 9.4% 87%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
    •

    Kairat - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 27.52 ↑
    (26.67)    		 12.67 ↑
    (10.17)    		 1.09 ↓
    (1.1)    		 3.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Kairat - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 3 - 6.3%). Real will win (votes: 41 - 85.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 75.4% – 95.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +2.5 - Real (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Kairat: Anarbekov T. (Jaw injury) Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Hamstring Injury) Carvajal D. (Red Card) Eder Militao (Ankle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kairat: Glazer D. (Ankle Injury) Zaria G. (Injury) Zarutskiy A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Kairat
    22.09.2025 Kairat - Zhenis 3:1
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Kairat 4:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Kairat - Aktobe 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Kairat 0:1 ✺
    26.08.2025 Kairat - Celtic 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    27.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 5:2 ✺
    23.09.2025 Levante - Real Madrid 1:4 ✺
    20.09.2025 Real Madrid - Espanyol 2:0 ✺
    16.09.2025 Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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