Kairat vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
30/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalySky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.32
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
412
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
77% (224/292)88% (542/614)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.46
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
412
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
96
Passes
77% (224/292)88% (542/614)
Long passes
35% (18/51)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
55% (41/75)79% (160/203)
Crosses
20% (2/10)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.66
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
69
Tackles
67% (14/21)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
2812
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
3.460.27
Goals prevented
-1.540.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 48', Gromyko V. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. , Courtois T. (A),
  • 55', Arad O. 🟨,
  • 64', Arad O. , Baybek O. ,
  • 64', Jorginho , Edmilson Santos ,
  • 64', Tapalov E. , Stanojev J. ,
  • 70', Mastantuono F. , Rodrygo ,
  • 70', Vinicius Junior , Diaz B. ,
  • 74', 0 - 3, Mbappe K. , Guler A. (A),
  • 80', Gromyko V. , Zaria G. ,
  • 80', Satpaev D. , Ricardinho ,
  • 80', Guler A. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 80', Tchouameni A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 81', Mbappe K. , Garcia G. ,
  • 83', 0 - 4, Camavinga E. , Rodrygo (A),
  • 90+3', 0 - 5, Diaz B. , Garcia G. (A),

Chances of winning


Kairat
3.5%
Draw
7.7%
Real Madrid
88.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
3.6% 9.4% 87%

Kairat - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
27.52
(26.67)
12.67
(10.17)
1.09
(1.1)
3.5%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Kairat - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 3 - 6.3%). Real will win (votes: 41 - 85.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 75.4%95.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Real (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Real (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Real (1.85) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75, 1st Half - Real (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Real (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Real (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Real (votes: 20 - 90.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Kairat: Anarbekov T. (Jaw injury) Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Hamstring Injury) Carvajal D. (Red Card) Eder Militao (Ankle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kairat: Glazer D. (Ankle Injury) Zaria G. (Injury) Zarutskiy A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Kairat
    22.09.2025 Kairat - Zhenis 3:1
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Kairat 4:1
    14.09.2025 Kairat - Aktobe 1:0
    31.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Kairat 0:1
    26.08.2025 Kairat - Celtic 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)