Kaisar vs Tobol Kostanay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay
Result
1:1
15/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
17
Corner Kicks
29
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
916
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
46
Corner Kicks
29
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1513
Throw-ins
2030
Fouls
1014
Goalkeeper Saves
60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Vukcevic M. ,
  • 24', Tolegenov A. , Torekul E. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Zhalmukan D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gubarev N. , Kalmuratov K. ,
  • 59', Zhalmukan D. , Baktybay S. ,
  • 65', Zuev A. , Henen D. ,
  • 74', Vukcevic M. , Zhagorov N. ,
  • 75', Abiken A. 🟨,
  • 81', Baktybay S. , Amirbek N. ,
  • 81', Agzambaev N. , Zhaksylykov A. ,
  • 87', El Messaoudi A. , Zhumashev Z. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kaisar
20.3%
Draw
25.2%
Tobol Kostanay
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.9% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 26.7% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaisar's form might have worsened.
  • Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tobol Kostanay's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.54
    (3.66)
    3.67
    (3.33)
    1.69
    (2)
    8.4%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tobol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tobol Kostanay will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 4.
    • Kaisar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tobol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Tobol is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay 2:0
    21.07.2024 Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay 5:1
    01.06.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Kaisar 1:2
    13.04.2024 Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay 0:3
    06.08.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Kaisar 0:2
    Latest results of Kaisar
    31.05.2025 Kaisar - Zhetysu 2:2
    25.05.2025 Atyrau - Kaisar 1:2
    18.05.2025 Kaisar - Turan Turkistan 1:0
    14.05.2025 Kaisar - Aktobe 1:2
    11.05.2025 Ordabasy - Kaisar 5:0
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    30.05.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 5:0
    18.05.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Ordabasy Postponed
    10.05.2025 Astana - Tobol Kostanay 1:3
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana18124241:162540
    2Kairat Almaty18124238:142440
    3Tobol17105230:161435
    4Aktobe17103426:121433
    5Yelimay Semey1884625:18728
    6Okzhetpes1884625:24128
    7Zhenis1859420:16424
    8Ordabasy1665515:13223
    9Kyzylzhar1847719:23-419
    10Kaisar Kyzylorda1838718:30-1217
    11Zhetysu Taldykorgan1837814:28-1416
    12Ulytau17341010:24-1413
    13Turan17321213:33-2011
    14Atyrau18221410:37-278

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League