Result
1:1
15/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Vukcevic M. ⚽,
- 24', Tolegenov A. ↓, Torekul E. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 1, Zhalmukan D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gubarev N. ↓, Kalmuratov K. ↑,
- 59', Zhalmukan D. ↓, Baktybay S. ↑,
- 65', Zuev A. ↓, Henen D. ↑,
- 74', Vukcevic M. ↓, Zhagorov N. ↑,
- 75', Abiken A. 🟨,
- 81', Baktybay S. ↓, Amirbek N. ↑,
- 81', Agzambaev N. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
- 87', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Zhumashev Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kaisar
20.3% | Draw
25.2% | Tobol Kostanay
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaisar's form might have worsened.Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tobol Kostanay's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.54 ↑
(3.66) |
3.67 ↑
(3.33) |
1.69 ↓
(2) |
8.4%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tobol (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tobol Kostanay will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 4.
- Kaisar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tobol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Tobol is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kaisar won against Tobol Kostanay?
Kaisar has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Kaisar?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
10.11.2024
Kaisar
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:0
21.07.2024
Kaisar
-
Tobol Kostanay
5:1
01.06.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Kaisar
1:2
13.04.2024
Kaisar
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:3
06.08.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Kaisar
0:2
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:18 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18:30 | -12 | 17 |
| 11 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 13 | Turan | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13:33 | -20 | 11 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10:37 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
