Result
3:4 penalties
07/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.01 | 2.19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.09% (3/33) | 17.65% (3/17) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 82.35% (14/17) | 90.91% (30/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (1/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.38 | 42.62 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 04:10, Westerlund F. (2 min),
- 05:16, 1 - 0, Simontaival K. (G), Tanus K. (A), Keskinen O. (A2)
- 06:40, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
- 08:27, 2 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Jokipakka J. (A2)
- 09:38, Kanak L. (2 min),
- 18:22, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
- 19:09, 2 - 1, Kapanen K. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Klemetti A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:36, 2 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Nyman L. (A2)
- 17:12, Kanak L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 16:24, 2 - 3, Kanak L. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Ketola J. (A2)
- 18:36, 3 - 3, Matinmikko A. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Sylvegard E. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Tanus K. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Borchardt C. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Blichfeld J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Soderlund T. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Rautiainen B. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kapanen K. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tappara
65.1% | Draw
18.6% | KalPa
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tappara - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.45) |
4.99 ↓
(5.1) |
5.71 ↑
(5.41) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tappara has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tappara is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 72:43. (average 3.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 3.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against KalPa?
Tappara has won 14 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Tappara?
KalPa has won 6 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - KalPa were as follows:
27.02.2026
KalPa
-
Tappara
1:10
19.09.2025
Tappara
-
KalPa
8:1
13.09.2025
KalPa
-
Tappara
3:5
04.01.2025
Tappara
-
KalPa
2:4
03.01.2025
KalPa
-
Tappara
5:2
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 56 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 211:136 | 111 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 57 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 196:150 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 56 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 189:161 | 102 |
| 5 | Lukko | 56 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 172:143 | 100 |
| 6 | KalPa | 57 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 173:166 | 100 |
| 7 | Ilves | 56 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 172:143 | 98 |
| 8 | Assat | 56 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 155:152 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 56 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 141:154 | 79 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 56 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 126:148 | 77 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 56 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 133:177 | 76 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 56 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 137:155 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 56 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 131:162 | 68 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 57 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 107:199 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
