Result
0:2
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Ohori R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 2, Shahverdiyev E. ⚽,
- 61', Kashchuk O. ↓, Leandro Andrade ↑,
- 61', Huseynov A. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
- 61', Bayramov T. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
- 61', Chriso ↓, Duran C. ↑,
- 62', Rzayev V. ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
- 62', Onanuga O. ↓, Ba M. ↑,
- 65', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
- 81', Addai E. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
- 84', Seyidov S. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 84', Isayev M. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 85', Imanov Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
76.2% | Draw
16.8% | Kapaz
7.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↑
(1.15) |
5.53 ↓
(6.76) |
13.14 ↓
(14.76) |
7.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Kapaz will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2 - Kapaz (1.99) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Qarabağ (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kapaz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 3 - 30%). Kapaz (votes: 7 - 70%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 4.
- Qarabağ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kapaz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Qarabağ is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 17 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 46:8. (average 2.3:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:5. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Kapaz?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Kapaz has won 0 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz were as follows:
04.10.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Kapaz
1:0
18.05.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Kapaz
3:0
15.03.2025
Kapaz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:0
18.10.2024
Kapaz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:5
09.08.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Kapaz
3:0
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
