Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
06/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Omondi B. S. ,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Ebenezer A. B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', 1 - 2, ,
  • 83', 1 - 3, ,
  • 87', 1 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Kariobangi Sharks
26.7%
Draw
32.4%
Gor Mahia
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.6% 31.1% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 29.3% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gor Mahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kariobangi Sharks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gor Mahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (4.05)
    2.78
    (2.94)
    2.2
    (1.98)
    10.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gor Mahia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Gor Mahia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kariobangi Sharks won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia 0:2
    05.03.2025 Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia 1:3
    22.12.2024 Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks 1:0
    13.01.2024 Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks 1:0
    03.12.2023 Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia 1:2
    Latest results of Kariobangi Sharks
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    21.12.2025 Nairobi United - Gor Mahia 1:1
    12.12.2025 Bandari - Gor Mahia 1:1
    07.12.2025 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 0:1
    25.11.2025 Gor Mahia - APS Bomet 1:4
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8KCB2396823:24-133
    9Bandari23711519:17232
    10Nairobi United2086626:21530
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League