Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
62%62%
1st serve points won
63% (31/49)71% (41/58)
2nd serve points won
53% (16/30)47% (17/36)
Break Points Saved
3/77/11
1st return points won
31% (18/58)37% (18/49)
2nd return points won
53% (19/36)47% (14/30)
Break Points Converted
4/114/7
Service Points Won
59% (47/79)62% (58/94)
Return Points Won
38% (36/94)41% (32/79)
Total Points Won
48% (83/173)52% (90/173)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
71% (10/14)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)29% (4/14)
Total games won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Elina Svitolina
55.3%
Karolina Muchova
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Elina Svitolina - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.83)

    2.14
    (1.98)
    4.5%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Elina Svitolina - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Svitolina will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Muchova will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 52.1%90.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elina Svitolina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Svitolina is ranked WTA: 7. Muchova is ranked WTA: 12.
    • In recent matches, Svitolina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Muchova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elina Svitolina - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina 1:2
    Latest results of Elina Svitolina
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Korpatsch T. (WC)Shnaider D.0 : 2
    3Eala A.Fernandez L.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z. (Q)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    6Siegemund L.Tomova V. (LL)2 : 1
    7Parks A. (Q)Noha Akugue N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ostapenko J.Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Knutson G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Noskova L.1 : 2
    11Lys E.Badosa P. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeSvitolina E. (4)
    13Muchova K. (7)Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Mertens E.Seidel E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Ruzic A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Shnaider D.2 : 0
    2Fernandez L.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    3Swiatek I. (3)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    4Parks A.Andreeva M. (6)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Noskova L.0 : 2
    6Lys E.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Muchova K. (7)Mertens E.2 : 1
    8Samsonova L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (3)Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    3Noskova L.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    4Muchova K. (7)Gauff C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Andreeva M. (6)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (4)Muchova K. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rybakina E. (1)Muchova K. (7)2 : 0