Karvan vs Baku Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan First Division Karvan - Baku Sporting
Result
1:1
27/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Stevanovic L. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Morgan E. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Karvan
63.6%
Draw
21.8%
Baku Sporting
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 25.8% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 26.6% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karvan's performance.
  • Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baku Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karvan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baku Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Karvan - Baku Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.85)
    4.18
    (3.5)
    6.22
    (3.58)
    10.1%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Karvan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sporting is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Sporting have a series of home games.
    • Karvan will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Karvan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Karvan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Baku Sporting were as follows:
    24.12.2024 Baku Sporting - Karvan 0:2
    26.09.2024 Karvan - Baku Sporting 3:1
    Latest results of Karvan
    07.03.2025 Karvan - Zagatala 3:2
    28.02.2025 Gabala - Karvan 2:0
    19.02.2025 Cəbrayıl - Karvan 1:1
    13.02.2025 Karvan - MOIK Baku 3:1
    Latest results of Baku Sporting
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Difai AgsuHypers Guba3 : 1