Result
1:0
25/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
78% (295/378) | 81% (338/416) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.33 | 0.15 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
78% (295/378) | 81% (338/416) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (25/57) | 46% (23/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (85/120) | 66% (77/117) |
Crosses |
---|
12% (2/17) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.57 | 0.64 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (15/17) | 50% (8/16) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.15 | 1.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.11 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Cavric A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tagawa K. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 46', Shibasaki G. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Chinen K. ⚽, Ueda N. (A),
- 61', Nagai K. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
- 61', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 82', Morishima T. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 82', Nogami Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 82', Araki R. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
- 89', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Cavric A. ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers 39.6% | Draw 31.1% | Nagoya Grampus 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5%)
Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.01) |
3.04 ↑ (2.85) |
3.23 ↓ (3.4) |
5.9% (14.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 1.
- Kashima is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Nagoya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nagoya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Kashima have a series of guest games.
- Kashima will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Inactive)
Yamagishi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashima won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashima Antlers?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
09.11.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:0
23.02.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashima Antlers
0:3
10.09.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:2
06.09.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashima Antlers
1:1
13.08.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashima Antlers
1:0
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League