Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

J1 League - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	0.89
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
83% (372/447)	83% (325/391)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	1.85
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
7	0
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
18	15
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
15	4
Passes
83% (372/447)	83% (325/391)
Long passes
48% (28/58)	39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
73% (105/143)	73% (86/118)
Crosses
38% (10/26)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.87
Throw-ins
20	17
Fouls
4	15
Tackles
64% (7/11)	57% (4/7)
Duels won
44	23
Clearances
18	23
Interceptions
3	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.85	1.25
Goals prevented
-2.15	1.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Elber ⚽, Funabashi Y. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Cavric A. (A),
26', Leo Ceara ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
33', Fujii H. 🟨,
36', Cavric A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Hara T. 🟨,
55', Hara T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
68', Elber ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
68', Suzuki Y. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
71', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
71', Mateus ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
84', Izumi R. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
84', Cavric A. ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
85', Funabashi Y. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Tokuda H. ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
90', 0 - 4, Tokuda H. ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
30.5%

Draw
29.2%

Kashima Antlers
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)	5.3% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers?

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
Recent performances by Nagoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Kawazura A. (Ankle Injury) Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Chinen K. (Yellow Cards) Kim Tae-Hyeon (Yellow Cards) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Uchida T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashima Antlers?

Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Nagoya Grampus?

Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers were as follows:

25.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 1:0

09.11.2024 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 0:0

23.02.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 0:3

10.09.2023 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 1:2

06.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 1:1

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

23.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

23.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 3:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League