Result
0:4
27/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/447) | 83% (325/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/447) | 83% (325/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (105/143) | 73% (86/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.15 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Elber ⚽, Funabashi Y. (A),
- 18', 0 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Cavric A. (A),
- 26', Leo Ceara ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 33', Fujii H. 🟨,
- 36', Cavric A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Hara T. 🟨,
- 55', Hara T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 68', Elber ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 68', Suzuki Y. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
- 71', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 71', Mateus ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 84', Izumi R. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 84', Cavric A. ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
- 85', Funabashi Y. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Tokuda H. ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
- 90', 0 - 4, Tokuda H. ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
30.5% | Draw
29.2% | Kashima Antlers
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.9) |
3.2 ↓
(3.36) |
2.39 ↑
(2.38) |
5.3%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
- Recent performances by Nagoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kashima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kawazura A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Chinen K.
(Yellow Cards)
Kim Tae-Hyeon
(Yellow Cards)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Uchida T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashima Antlers?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
25.04.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
09.11.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:0
23.02.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashima Antlers
0:3
10.09.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:2
06.09.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashima Antlers
1:1
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare ✔ | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
