Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima).

J1 League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	0.72
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
78% (295/378)	81% (338/416)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.15
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
14	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	7
Passes
78% (295/378)	81% (338/416)
Long passes
44% (25/57)	46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
71% (85/120)	66% (77/117)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	0.64
Throw-ins
27	20
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
88% (15/17)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
48	48
Clearances
26	23
Interceptions
10	15
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.15	1.33
Goals prevented
0.11	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Cavric A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tagawa K. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
46', Shibasaki G. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Chinen K. ⚽, Ueda N. (A),
61', Nagai K. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
61', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
82', Morishima T. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
82', Nogami Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
82', Araki R. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
89', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
90+5', Cavric A. ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashima Antlers
39.6%

Draw
31.1%

Nagoya Grampus
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5%)

Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.01)	3.04 ↑ (2.85)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	5.9% (14.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus?

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 1.
Kashima is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Nagoya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nagoya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Kashima have a series of guest games.
Kashima will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Inactive) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashima won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Nagoya Grampus?

Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashima Antlers?

Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

09.11.2024 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 0:0

23.02.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 0:3

10.09.2023 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 1:2

06.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 1:1

13.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 1:0

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

20.04.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 3:4 ✺

02.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

20.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Kataller Toyama - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League