Kashima Antlers vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima).

J1 League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.72
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
12	3
Passes
83% (538/645)	68% (187/273)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.28	0.71
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
9	2
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
10	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
12	3
Touches in opposition box
31	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
13	6
Passes
83% (538/645)	68% (187/273)
Long passes
34% (15/44)	34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
70% (122/174)	59% (68/115)
Crosses
18% (5/28)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	0.81
Throw-ins
27	26
Fouls
6	13
Tackles
75% (6/8)	71% (20/28)
Duels won
55	63
Clearances
30	47
Interceptions
8	15
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.71	1.28
Goals prevented
-0.29	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
45+3', Germain R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Misao K. 🟨,
59', Kinoshita K. 🟨,
68', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
68', Matsumura Y. ↓, Nono K. ↑,
70', Maeda N. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
73', Nakamura S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
80', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
80', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
80', Koike R. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
83', Leo Ceara 🟨,
87', Germain R. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Kashima Antlers
29.9%

Draw
28.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.5%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.46)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)	6.7% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 39.2% – 89.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 2 - 50%). Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 1.
Kashima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hiroshima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Kashima: Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Nakajima Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Kashima Antlers?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

02.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:0

14.09.2024 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:2

15.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:3

08.07.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:1

01.04.2023 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

11.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma 4:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 3:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

11.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Brew Saga 3:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
2	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
3	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
4	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
6	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League