Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo - Kashima Antlers
Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.00
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
81% (398/491)81% (328/404)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.541.04
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
3118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (398/491)81% (328/404)
Long passes
42% (23/55)28% (12/43)
Passes in final third
61% (77/126)63% (59/94)
Crosses
36% (10/28)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.69
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
109
Tackles
47% (7/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3744
Clearances
1927
Interceptions
518
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.041.54
Goals prevented
0.041.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Araki R. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 46', Funabashi Y. , Chinen K. ,
  • 53', Muroya S. , Bangnagande K. ,
  • 61', Cavric A. , Tagawa K. ,
  • 75', Leo Ceara , Higuchi Y. ,
  • 77', Misao K. 🟨,
  • 78', Marcelo Ryan , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 78', Tawaratsumida K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 79', Misao K. , Mizoguchi S. ,
  • 81', 0 - 1, Tagawa K. , Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 89', Sato K. , Everton Galdino ,
  • 89', Hashimoto K. , Higashi K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
39%
Draw
27.7%
Kashima Antlers
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 28.2% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 28.1% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Tokyo - Kashima Antlers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.66)
    3.39
    (3.34)
    2.83
    (2.57)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kashima Antlers?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Kashima will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 11.5%55.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
    • Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Yamaguchi T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nono K. (Yellow Cards) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo 2:0
    20.07.2024 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo 2:1
    07.04.2024 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 2:0
    16.07.2023 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 1:3
    20.05.2023 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo 1:1
    Latest results of Tokyo
    06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2
    16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0
    05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League