Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (398/491) | 81% (328/404) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 1.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.54 | 1.04 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
81% (398/491) | 81% (328/404) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (23/55) | 28% (12/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (77/126) | 63% (59/94) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (10/28) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.71 | 0.69 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
47% (7/15) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 18 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.04 | 1.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | 1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 46', Funabashi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 53', Muroya S. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
- 61', Cavric A. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 75', Leo Ceara ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 77', Misao K. 🟨,
- 78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 78', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 79', Misao K. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 1, Tagawa K. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
- 89', Sato K. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 89', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo 39% | Draw 27.7% | Kashima Antlers 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Tokyo - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↓ (2.66) |
3.39 ↑ (3.34) |
2.83 ↑ (2.57) |
6.1% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Kashima will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 11.5% – 55.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
- Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Kashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Yamaguchi T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nono K.
(Yellow Cards)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kashima Antlers?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Tokyo?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
01.03.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo
2:0
20.07.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo
2:1
07.04.2024
Tokyo
-
Kashima Antlers
2:0
16.07.2023
Tokyo
-
Kashima Antlers
1:3
20.05.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo
1:1
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
2 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
6 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League