Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	1.00
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
9	5
Passes
81% (398/491)	81% (328/404)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.54	1.04
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
9	1
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
31	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
81% (398/491)	81% (328/404)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	28% (12/43)
Passes in final third
61% (77/126)	63% (59/94)
Crosses
36% (10/28)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.69
Throw-ins
28	19
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
47% (7/15)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
37	44
Clearances
19	27
Interceptions
5	18
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.04	1.54
Goals prevented
0.04	1.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
46', Funabashi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
53', Muroya S. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
61', Cavric A. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
75', Leo Ceara ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
77', Misao K. 🟨,
78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
78', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
79', Misao K. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Tagawa K. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
89', Sato K. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
89', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
39%

Draw
27.7%

Kashima Antlers
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.1%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Tokyo - Kashima Antlers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.66)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)	2.83 ↑ (2.57)	6.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kashima Antlers?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Kashima will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 11.5% – 55.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Kashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Yamaguchi T. (Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nono K. (Yellow Cards) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kashima Antlers?

Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Tokyo?

Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kashima Antlers were as follows:

01.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo 2:0

20.07.2024 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo 2:1

07.04.2024 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 2:0

16.07.2023 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 1:3

20.05.2023 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo 1:1

Latest results of Tokyo

06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 3:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - V-Varen Nagasaki 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
13	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
14	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare ✔	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata ✔	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League