Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (398/491) | 81% (328/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (398/491) | 81% (328/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 28% (12/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (77/126) | 63% (59/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 46', Funabashi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 53', Muroya S. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
- 61', Cavric A. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 75', Leo Ceara ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 77', Misao K. 🟨,
- 78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 78', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 79', Misao K. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 1, Tagawa K. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
- 89', Sato K. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 89', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
39% | Draw
27.7% | Kashima Antlers
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Tokyo - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.66) |
3.39 ↑
(3.34) |
2.83 ↑
(2.57) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Kashima will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 11.5% – 55.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
- Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Kashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Yamaguchi T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nono K.
(Yellow Cards)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kashima Antlers?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Tokyo?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
01.03.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo
2:0
20.07.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo
2:1
07.04.2024
Tokyo
-
Kashima Antlers
2:0
16.07.2023
Tokyo
-
Kashima Antlers
1:3
20.05.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo
1:1
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
