Result
2:1 penalties
04/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (185/269) | 85% (568/665) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (185/269) | 85% (568/665) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (27/73) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (61/111) | 74% (141/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Watanabe A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 46', Elber ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 59', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
- 63', Arai M. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
- 63', Matheus Leiria ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 74', Mizoguchi S. 🟨,
- 74', Watanabe A. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
- 75', Shibasaki G. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 75', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Anzai K. ↑,
- 77', Nemoto R. 🟨,
- 85', Misao K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 85', Semba T. ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑,
- 89', Nono K. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Leo Ceara (Penalty Awarded),
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Chinen K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Osaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Ueda N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Nemoto R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Suzuki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Tada K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Tagawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Yamamoto H. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Mito HollyHock
23.6% | Draw
27.2% | Kashima Antlers
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)The chances for Kashima Antlers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(3.87) |
3.47 ↓
(3.59) |
1.91 ↓
(1.92) |
6.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kashima will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- Mito HollyHock is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kashima is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Kashima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kashima: Koike R.
(Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashima: Elber
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Kashima Antlers?
Mito HollyHock has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Mito HollyHock?
Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
01.02.2025
Mito HollyHock
-
Kashima Antlers
1:1
10.02.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Mito HollyHock
1:0
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
