Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima).

J1 League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	2.27
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
0	2
Passes
72% (213/297)	84% (543/645)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	2.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.91	1.28
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
2	8
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
3	13
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
0	2
Touches in opposition box
6	42
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	9
Passes
72% (213/297)	84% (543/645)
Long passes
42% (28/66)	34% (15/44)
Passes in final third
46% (32/70)	80% (179/223)
Crosses
0% (0/8)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.11	1.41
Throw-ins
20	26
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
53% (8/15)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
41	43
Clearances
20	19
Interceptions
14	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.28	1.91
Goals prevented
-0.72	-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽,
36', Harada W. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Ueda N. ⚽,
41', Koyamatsu T. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Koyamatsu T. ⚽, Kakita Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
58', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
67', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
67', Koike R. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
71', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
76', Kakita Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
79', Misao K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
84', Koyamatsu T. (Pen),
86', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
86', Yamada Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
89', Watai M. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Matsumura Y. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashima Antlers
38.5%

Draw
28.8%

Kashiwa Reysol
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)	3.03 ↑ (2.69)	2.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 23.4% – 70.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
Kashima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kashiwa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Inactive) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Injury) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Kashima Antlers?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

08.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:3

21.09.2024 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0

06.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:2

11.11.2023 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

24.05.2023 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

16.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - V-Varen Nagasaki 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League