Result
3:2
20/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (213/297) | 84% (543/645) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (213/297) | 84% (543/645) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (32/70) | 80% (179/223) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽,
- 36', Harada W. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Ueda N. ⚽,
- 41', Koyamatsu T. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Koyamatsu T. ⚽, Kakita Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 58', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 67', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 67', Koike R. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 71', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
- 76', Kakita Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
- 79', Misao K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
- 84', Koyamatsu T. (Pen),
- 86', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 86', Yamada Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 89', Watai M. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Matsumura Y. ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers 38.5% | Draw 28.8% | Kashiwa Reysol 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↓ (2.6) |
3.42 ↑ (3.33) |
3.03 ↑ (2.69) |
2.1% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
- Kashima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kashiwa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Inactive)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harakawa R.
(Injury)
Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Kashima Antlers?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
08.03.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Kashima Antlers
1:3
21.09.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
06.05.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Kashima Antlers
1:2
11.11.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
24.05.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League