Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Football Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
3:2
20/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.27
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
72% (213/297)84% (543/645)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.28
Total shots
617
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
313
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
642
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
129
Passes
72% (213/297)84% (543/645)
Long passes
42% (28/66)34% (15/44)
Passes in final third
46% (32/70)80% (179/223)
Crosses
0% (0/8)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.111.41
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
912
Tackles
53% (8/15)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.281.91
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽,
  • 36', Harada W. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Ueda N. ⚽,
  • 41', Koyamatsu T. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Koyamatsu T. ⚽, Kakita Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
  • 58', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
  • 67', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
  • 67', Koike R. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
  • 71', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
  • 76', Kakita Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
  • 79', Misao K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
  • 84', Koyamatsu T. (Pen),
  • 86', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
  • 86', Yamada Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
  • 89', Watai M. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Matsumura Y. ⚽,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
38.5%		Draw
28.8%		Kashiwa Reysol
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 28.4% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 28.9% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.51 ↓
    (2.6)    		 3.42 ↑
    (3.33)    		 3.03 ↑
    (2.69)    		 2.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 23.4% – 70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
    • Kashima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kashiwa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Inactive) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Injury) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:3
    21.09.2024 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0
    06.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:2
    11.11.2023 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    24.05.2023 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    16.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - V-Varen Nagasaki 2:1 ✺
    05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺
    21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺
    14.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺
    11.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0 ✺
    21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺
    15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺
    08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺
    04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe35188945:301562
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Avispa Fukuoka3511111333:37-444
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    14Verdy351191522:36-1442
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare35682129:59-3026
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 354112032:58-2623

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
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