Result
2:1
15/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/334) | 81% (322/398) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/98) | 61% (70/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 25% (6/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 54% (7/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 55 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, Fall M. ⚽, Gul G. (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Hajradinovic H. (Pen),
- 38', 2 - 1, Vilhena T. ⚽, Richard (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aksoy F. ↓, Hwang Ui-Jo ↑,
- 49', Ozdemir Y. 🟨,
- 56', Fall M. 🟨,
- 63', Ozcan Y. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
- 65', Keskin E. ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
- 73', Espinoza J. 🟨,
- 76', Da Costa N. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 82', Hadergjonaj F. ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
- 90+6', Gul G. ↓, Cafu ↑,
- 90+6', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Ciftpinar S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
49.4% | Draw
26.7% | Alanyaspor
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kasımpaşa's performance.Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alanyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alanyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.2) |
3.56 ↓
(3.7) |
3.92 ↑
(3.11) |
5.7%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor?
Users Predictions:
Kasımpaşa will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 4.
- Kasımpaşa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Alanyaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alanyaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Kasımpaşa will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Kara A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Yanar A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 36:34 (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:12 (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Alanyaspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Alanyaspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor were as follows:
20.10.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:2
04.02.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Alanyaspor
2:1
17.09.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
3:3
30.05.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:3
04.01.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
Alanyaspor
4:1
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Gaziantep | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
