Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 13
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (527/589) | 78% (212/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (527/589) | 78% (212/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 33% (17/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (169/201) | 72% (50/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (6/38) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Tasdemir E. ↓, Frimpong G. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Hwang Ui-Jo ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Szalai At. ↓, Diabate F. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Winck C. (A),
- 51', Maestro 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 2, Gueye P. ⚽, Cafu (A),
- 64', Cafu 🟨,
- 75', Maestro ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
- 75', Hadergjonaj F. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
- 75', Elia M. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 82', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 82', Cafu ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
- 87', Aliti F. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 87', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
- 90+4', Gueye P. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
- 90+6', Espinoza J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
49.2% | Draw
26.5% | Kasımpaşa
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.96) |
3.57 ↓
(3.58) |
3.92 ↑
(3.73) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Kasımpaşa (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Kasımpaşa (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alanyaspor will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alanyaspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 0.
- Alanyaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kasımpaşa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Alanyaspor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Mounie S.
(Knee Injury)
Ruan
(Injury)
Yalcin G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Diabate F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Alanyaspor has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Alanyaspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
15.03.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Alanyaspor
2:1
20.10.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:2
04.02.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Alanyaspor
2:1
17.09.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
3:3
30.05.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:3
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
