Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 6
  • Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.79
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
76% (213/280)85% (471/552)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.29
Total shots
179
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
76% (213/280)85% (471/552)
Long passes
33% (16/48)61% (33/54)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)71% (86/121)
Crosses
20% (3/15)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.49
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1115
Tackles
95% (18/19)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5253
Clearances
3214
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.291.02
Goals prevented
-0.710.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Asensio M. , Akturkoglu K. (A),
  • 21', Kol A. 🟨,
  • 45', Cafu 🟥,
  • 45+3', Winck C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fred , Elmaz B. ,
  • 59', Talisca , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 59', Semedo N. , Muldur M. ,
  • 62', Kol A. , Diabate F. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Hajradinovic H. , Ben Ouanes M. (A),
  • 72', Asensio M. , Szymanski S. ,
  • 72', Kahveci I. C. , Tosun C. ,
  • 78', Arous A. , Ustundag C. ,
  • 90+3', Ben Ouanes M. , Fall M. ,
  • 90+7', Hajradinovic H. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
10.4%
Draw
18.1%
Fenerbahçe
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 22.9% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.
  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.
  • Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.31
    (5.14)
    5.34
    (4.04)
    1.34
    (1.57)
    4.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 82.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 0.
    • Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Barasi Y. (Inactive) Cetinkaya B. (Inactive) Cetinkaya E. (Muscle Injury) Diabate F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive) Duran J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 18:54. (average 0.9:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:25. (average 0.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa 3:1
    09.01.2025 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 0:3
    15.09.2024 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    24.02.2024 Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    08.10.2023 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    17.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor 2:2
    14.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 1:0
    27.08.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 1:0
    23.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kocaelispor 3:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray981022:41825
    2Trabzonspor962115:7820
    3Fenerbahce954014:6819
    4Gaziantep952215:14117
    5Goztepe944111:3816
    6Besiktas951315:11416
    7Samsunspor944113:9416
    8Alanyaspor934211:9213
    9Konyaspor932415:14111
    10Antalyaspor931511:16-510
    11Rizespor923410:13-39
    12Kasimpasa92348:11-39
    13Genclerbirligi92259:13-48
    14Eyupspor92256:11-58
    15Kocaelispor92258:14-68
    16Basaksehir91447:9-27
    17Kayserispor90546:20-145
    18Karagumruk91088:20-123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig