Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 6
  • Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.79
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
76% (213/280)85% (471/552)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.29
Total shots
179
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
76% (213/280)85% (471/552)
Long passes
33% (16/48)61% (33/54)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)71% (86/121)
Crosses
20% (3/15)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.49
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1115
Tackles
95% (18/19)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5253
Clearances
3214
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.291.02
Goals prevented
-0.710.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Asensio M. , Akturkoglu K. (A),
  • 21', Kol A. 🟨,
  • 45', Cafu 🟥,
  • 45+3', Winck C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fred , Elmaz B. ,
  • 59', Talisca , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 59', Semedo N. , Muldur M. ,
  • 62', Kol A. , Diabate F. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Hajradinovic H. , Ben Ouanes M. (A),
  • 72', Asensio M. , Szymanski S. ,
  • 72', Kahveci I. C. , Tosun C. ,
  • 78', Arous A. , Ustundag C. ,
  • 90+3', Ben Ouanes M. , Fall M. ,
  • 90+7', Hajradinovic H. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
10.4%
Draw
18.1%
Fenerbahçe
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 22.9% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.
  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.
  • Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.31
    (5.14)
    5.34
    (4.04)
    1.34
    (1.57)
    4.3%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 82.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 0.
    • Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Barasi Y. (Inactive) Cetinkaya B. (Inactive) Cetinkaya E. (Muscle Injury) Diabate F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive) Duran J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 18:54. (average 0.9:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:25. (average 0.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa 3:1
    09.01.2025 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 0:3
    15.09.2024 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    24.02.2024 Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    08.10.2023 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    17.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor 2:2
    14.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 1:0
    27.08.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 1:0
    23.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kocaelispor 3:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray770019:21721
    2Fenerbahce743012:5715
    3Trabzonspor74219:6314
    4Goztepe734010:2813
    5Besiktas640211:8312
    6Samsunspor733110:8212
    7Gaziantep732210:12-211
    8Konyaspor631212:8410
    9Antalyaspor73137:8-110
    10Alanyaspor72328:719
    11Kasimpasa72237:8-18
    12Basaksehir61326:606
    13Rizespor61234:9-55
    14Eyupspor71244:10-65
    15Kayserispor70525:13-85
    16Genclerbirligi71155:10-54
    17Karagumruk71067:16-93
    18Kocaelispor70254:12-82

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig