Result
26/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Ismuratov A. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
62.7% | Draw
22.7% | Kaspiy Aktau
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tobol Kostanay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaspiy Aktau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tobol Kostanay - Kaspiy Aktau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.56) |
4.03 ↑
(3.62) |
6.25 ↑
(5.97) |
9.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 3.
- Tobol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kaspiy Aktau is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kaspiy Aktau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tobol is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Kaspiy Aktau?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kaspiy Aktau won against Tobol Kostanay?
Kaspiy Aktau has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Kaspiy Aktau were as follows:
21.10.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Kaspiy Aktau
1:1
10.03.2023
Kaspiy Aktau
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Latest results of Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Ulytau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
