Result
5:2
18/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kapllani D. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Mellugja D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', 2 - 1, Kapllani D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 73', 3 - 1, Kasmollari O. ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 1, Kapllani D. ⚽,
- 81', 5 - 1, Kasmollari O. ⚽,
- 90+1', 5 - 2, Xhabrahimi A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kastrioti
30.4% | Draw
28.9% | Burreli
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastrioti's form might have worsened.Burreli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burreli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastrioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burreli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kastrioti - Burreli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.22) |
3.28 ↑
(3.1) |
2.33 ↓
(3.15) |
5.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kastrioti - Burreli?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kastrioti will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Burreli will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burreli will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1.
- Kastrioti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Burreli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kastrioti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Kastrioti won against Burreli?
Kastrioti has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burreli won against Kastrioti?
Burreli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kastrioti - Burreli were as follows:
13.12.2025
Burreli
-
Kastrioti
0:0
19.11.2025
Burreli
-
Kastrioti
5:2
01.03.2025
Burreli
-
Kastrioti
1:0
14.12.2024
Burreli
-
Kastrioti
3:1
21.09.2024
Kastrioti
-
Burreli
2:0
Latest results of Kastrioti
Latest results of Burreli
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 50:23 | 27 | 67 |
| 2 | Laci | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Burreli | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 33 |
| 7 | Korabi Peshkopi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
