Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki).

J1 League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.47	1.65
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
76% (273/360)	75% (287/382)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47	1.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.11	2.48
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
19	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
14	4
Passes
76% (273/360)	75% (287/382)
Long passes
29% (17/58)	30% (21/70)
Passes in final third
58% (62/106)	62% (91/146)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	1.09
Throw-ins
26	19
Fouls
7	16
Tackles
56% (5/9)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
57	41
Clearances
35	26
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
2.48	3.11
Goals prevented
-0.52	-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Ito T. ⚽, Kawahara S. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Na Sang-Ho ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
36', 1 - 2, Shimoda H. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Erison ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Tachibanada K. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
59', Dresevic I. 🟨,
60', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
60', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
61', Ito T. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Miyagi T. ⚽, Erison (A),
71', 3 - 3, Fujio S. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
75', Uremovic F. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
77', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
78', 4 - 3, Erison ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
80', Erison ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
82', Shoji G. 🟨,
85', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
85', Hayashi K. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
90+10', 5 - 3, Marcinho ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
90+11', Marcinho 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Kawasaki Frontale
32.9%

Draw
27.8%

Machida Zelvia
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Machida Zelvia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)	3.35 ↑ (3.34)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)	6.5% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 42% – 87.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).
Kawasaki has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Machida Zelvia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Okamura D. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Maruyama Y. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Kawasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Machida Zelvia?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2

05.10.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 1:4

07.04.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia 0:1

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

23.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 3:4 ✺

16.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺

20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagamihara 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

27.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 3:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia 0:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 3:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	32	20	4	8	52:28	24	64
2	Vissel Kobe	32	18	6	8	43:27	16	60
3	Kyoto	31	16	8	7	54:33	21	56
4	Kashiwa Reysol	31	15	11	5	43:29	14	56
5	Machida	32	16	7	9	48:33	15	55
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	32	16	7	9	37:22	15	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	31	14	9	8	55:40	15	51
8	Urawa Reds	32	13	10	9	39:32	7	49
9	Gamba Osaka	32	15	4	13	46:47	-1	49
10	Cerezo Osaka	31	11	10	10	48:45	3	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	32	10	10	12	34:38	-4	40
12	Okayama	32	11	7	14	28:34	-6	40
13	FC Tokyo	31	11	7	13	33:42	-9	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	32	9	10	13	31:37	-6	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	32	9	9	14	38:47	-9	36
16	Verdy	32	9	9	14	20:35	-15	36
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	31	7	7	17	29:41	-12	28
18	Yokohama FC	31	7	7	17	20:36	-16	28
19	Shonan Bellmare	31	6	7	18	28:55	-27	25
20	Albirex Niigata	32	4	9	19	29:54	-25	21

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