Result
5:3
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (273/360) | 75% (287/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 2.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (273/360) | 75% (287/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/58) | 30% (21/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (62/106) | 62% (91/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.48 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 20', 1 - 0, Ito T. ⚽, Kawahara S. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Na Sang-Ho ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 36', 1 - 2, Shimoda H. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Erison ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Tachibanada K. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 59', Dresevic I. 🟨,
- 60', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 60', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 61', Ito T. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 2, Miyagi T. ⚽, Erison (A),
- 71', 3 - 3, Fujio S. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 75', Uremovic F. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
- 77', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 78', 4 - 3, Erison ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
- 80', Erison ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
- 82', Shoji G. 🟨,
- 85', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 85', Hayashi K. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 90+10', 5 - 3, Marcinho ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
- 90+11', Marcinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale
32.9% | Draw
27.8% | Machida Zelvia
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)The chances for Machida Zelvia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(2.93) |
3.35 ↑
(3.34) |
2.4 ↓
(2.42) |
6.5%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Kawasaki (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kawasaki (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Kawasaki (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).
- Kawasaki has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Machida Zelvia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Okamura D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Maruyama Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Kawasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Machida Zelvia?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
06.04.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:2
05.10.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:4
07.04.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Machida Zelvia
0:1
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Verdy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Mito | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Okayama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
