Result
2:0
02/05/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/455) | 86% (460/532) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/455) | 86% (460/532) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/49) | 35% (17/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (57/100) | 71% (84/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Sato K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ito T. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
- 46', Miyagi T. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Nozawa L. ⚽, Nakagawa T. (A),
- 57', Kanda S. ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
- 66', Erison 🟨,
- 68', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 68', Tokiwa K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 69', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
- 79', Tachibanada K. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
- 83', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
- 87', Erison ↓, Osa R. ↑,
- 88', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
- 90+1', Muroya S. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
49.6% | Draw
26.1% | Kawasaki Frontale
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.91) |
3.59 ↑
(3.55) |
3.81 ↑
(3.55) |
6.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tokyo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
- Tokyo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Kawasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tokyo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Nagakura M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nagatomo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Scholz A.
(Injury)
Tawaratsumida K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Konno K.
(Calf Injury)
Ozeki Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Taniguchi H.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Tokiwa K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Uremovic F.
(Injury)
Yamaichi S.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:28. (average 0.8:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Tokyo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Tokyo?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
21.02.2026
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Tokyo
1:2
20.09.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Tokyo
0:1
29.03.2025
Tokyo
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:3
11.08.2024
Tokyo
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:3
30.03.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Tokyo
3:0
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
