Result
3:2
13/09/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 597 | 498 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 456 | 392 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 129 | 104 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 66 | 63 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Tachibanada K. ⚽, Oshima R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Erison ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Togashi C. (A),
- 60', Wermeskerken S. V. ↓, Miura S. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Ienaga A. ⚽,
- 62', Hino S. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
- 69', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 69', Oshima R. ↓, Takai K. ↑,
- 75', Narahara Y. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
- 75', Nakahara H. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
- 81', Tono D. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Kiyotake H. (Pen),
- 90+2', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
- 90+9', Slivka V. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 90+9', Sasaki A. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 90+10', 3 - 2, Yamada S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale
67.2% | Draw
19% | Sagan Tosu
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-20.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kawasaki Frontale that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagan Tosu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.47) |
5.03 ↑
(4.66) |
6.71 ↑
(5.87) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 48.9% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 3.
- Kawasaki is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tosu has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Kawasaki is indisputable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Sagan Tosu?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
15.05.2024
Sagan Tosu
-
Kawasaki Frontale
5:2
03.12.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:1
07.05.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Sagan Tosu
1:0
31.08.2022
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Sagan Tosu
4:0
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 56 |
| 7 | Machida | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:52 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:50 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Verdy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 42 |
| 13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:44 | -8 | 34 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 23:39 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
