Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Trabzonspor - Kayserispor
Result
4:0
03/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 8
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.041.51
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
2517
Shots on target
127
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (367/430)80% (320/398)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
4.041.51
xG on target (xGOT)
3.921.65
Total shots
2517
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1811
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
31
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
85% (367/430)80% (320/398)
Long passes
63% (25/40)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
71% (60/84)68% (59/87)
Crosses
64% (9/14)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.781.28
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1514
Tackles
56% (5/9)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5237
Clearances
1412
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
78
xGOT faced
1.653.92
Goals prevented
1.65-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Yokuslu O. , Onuachu P. (A),
  • 42', Tokoz D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Felipe Augusto , Inao Oulai C. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 0, Zubkov O. , Savic S. (A),
  • 57', Tokoz D. , Korkmaz N. ,
  • 58', Burak A. , Tuci I. ,
  • 60', Zubkov O. , Bosluk A. ,
  • 69', Opoku A. , Mane C. ,
  • 73', Yokuslu O. , Muci E. ,
  • 74', Felipe Augusto , Olaigbe K. ,
  • 78', Civelek R. , Sariarslan T. ,
  • 78', Onugkha G. , Kapacak B. ,
  • 85', Inao Oulai C. , Tufan O. ,
  • 86', Eskihellac M. , Sikan D. ,
  • 90+4', Bayazit B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 4 - 0, Onuachu P. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Trabzonspor
70.2%
Draw
18.5%
Kayserispor
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 22% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 21.5% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trabzonspor's performance.
  • Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trabzonspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Trabzonspor - Kayserispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.57)
    5.23
    (4.3)
    8.7
    (5.4)
    4%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Trabzonspor - Kayserispor?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 87.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Trabzonspor (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trabzonspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Trabzonspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Trabzonspor is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Trabzonspor: Bouchouari B. (Inactive) Eskihellac M. (Inactive) Nwakaeme A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kayserispor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Injury) Mane C. (Inactive) Mendes J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 2.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trabzonspor - Kayserispor were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Kayserispor - Trabzonspor 0:0
    19.09.2024 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 2:2
    20.04.2024 Kayserispor - Trabzonspor 1:2
    03.12.2023 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 0:1
    01.04.2023 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 3:4
    Latest results of Trabzonspor
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    24.09.2025 Kayserispor - Beşiktaş 0:4
    20.09.2025 Antalyaspor - Kayserispor 1:1
    14.09.2025 Kayserispor - Göztepe 1:1
    30.08.2025 Kocaelispor - Kayserispor 1:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray981022:41825
    2Trabzonspor962115:7820
    3Fenerbahce954014:6819
    4Gaziantep952215:14117
    5Goztepe944111:3816
    6Besiktas951315:11416
    7Samsunspor944113:9416
    8Alanyaspor934211:9213
    9Konyaspor932415:14111
    10Antalyaspor931511:16-510
    11Rizespor923410:13-39
    12Kasimpasa92348:11-39
    13Genclerbirligi92259:13-48
    14Eyupspor92256:11-58
    15Kocaelispor92258:14-68
    16Basaksehir91447:9-27
    17Kayserispor90546:20-145
    18Karagumruk91088:20-123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig