Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League
Result
1:3
09/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 25
  • Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.092.65
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
65
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
68
Passes
84% (244/289)93% (592/635)
Yellow cards
40
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.092.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.602.77
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
18
Shots inside the box
1014
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
01
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free kicks
98
Passes
84% (244/289)93% (592/635)
Long passes
66% (38/58)82% (27/33)
Passes in final third
79% (78/99)86% (127/148)
Crosses
17% (3/18)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.582.12
Throw ins
1211
Fouls
89
Tackles
50% (6/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3436
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
2.771.60
Goals prevented
0.770.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Tokoz D. 🟥,
  • 19', Civelek R. 🟨,
  • 20', Saglam G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Onuachu P. ⚽, Pina W. (A),
  • 45+7', 0 - 2, Onuachu P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 3, Bayazit B. (Own goal),
  • 62', Chalov F. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
  • 65', Zubkov O. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
  • 74', Soyalp F. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
  • 74', Makarov D. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
  • 76', Pina W. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
  • 76', Felipe Augusto ↓, Nayir U. ↑,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Onugkha G. ⚽, Cardoso M. (A),
  • 89', Muci E. ↓, Nwaiwu C. ↑,
  • 89', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Cardoso M. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Civelek R. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Bayazit B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Brenet J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kayserispor
26%		Draw
25.9%		Trabzonspor
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 24.6% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 24.4% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Kayserispor - Trabzonspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.61 ↓
    (4.15)    		 3.62 ↓
    (3.84)    		 1.97 ↑
    (1.79)    		 6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Trabzonspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.25 - Kayserispor (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Trabzonspor (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Trabzonspor (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Trabzonspor (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (43 of 47 users predict this - 91.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.51% – 99.47%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trabzonspor will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Trabzonspor (votes: 24 - 92.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 1.
    • In recent matches, Kayserispor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Trabzonspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Trabzonspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Trabzonspor might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Trabzonspor: Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Injury) Visca E. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kayserispor: Carole L. (Injury) Hosseini M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:42. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Trabzonspor were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 4:0
    01.02.2025 Kayserispor - Trabzonspor 0:0
    19.09.2024 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 2:2
    20.04.2024 Kayserispor - Trabzonspor 1:2
    03.12.2023 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 0:1
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    01.03.2026 Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor 0:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Kayserispor - Antalyaspor 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Göztepe - Kayserispor 0:0 ✺
    09.02.2026 Kayserispor - Kocaelispor 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Galatasaray - Kayserispor 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Trabzonspor
    03.03.2026 İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor 2:4 ✺
    27.02.2026 Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Gaziantep - Trabzonspor 1:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe 2:3 ✺
    07.02.2026 Samsunspor - Trabzonspor 0:3 ✺
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

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