İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul).

1. Lig - Round 21
Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.49	1.51
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
5	5
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
0	8
Passes
73% (251/346)	80% (295/369)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.49	1.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.62	1.28
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked shots
4	6
Shots inside the box
8	12
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
0	8
Touches in opposition box
17	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free kicks
16	8
Passes
73% (251/346)	80% (295/369)
Long passes
34% (24/70)	50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
59% (49/83)	67% (79/118)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
2.06	0.72
Throw ins
16	21
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
67% (6/9)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
41	42
Clearances
35	16
Interceptions
11	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.28	2.62
Goals prevented
-0.72	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', Akdag I. 🟨,
25', Ozer Y. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Sambissa D. ⚽, Duhaney D. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Karaogul I. ⚽, Dere A. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Wellington Nascimento ⚽, Karaogul I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 2, Gultekin E. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
61', Temel V. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
64', Bulut H. 🟨,
71', Sahin D. 🟨,
72', Diouf M. 🟨,
76', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
76', Fernandes J. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
79', Gultekin E. ↓, Krstovski M. ↑,
79', Sambissa D. ↓, Bahadir Y. ↑,
90+3', Mamadou M. ↓, Cham A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

İstanbulspor
35.4%

Draw
26.9%

Keçiörengücü
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.4%

32%

İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.36)	3.42 ↓ (3.46)	2.43 ↓ (2.75)	9.1% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - İstanbulspor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - İstanbulspor (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 0.
İstanbulspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Keçiörengücü is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D. (Knee Injury) Ay F. K. (Red Card) Aydin D. (Knee Injury) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)
There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B. (Suspended) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has İstanbulspor won against Keçiörengücü?

İstanbulspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against İstanbulspor?

Keçiörengücü has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:

16.08.2025 Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor 0:0

12.04.2025 İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü 0:2

08.12.2024 Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor 2:1

Latest results of İstanbulspor

14.01.2026 İstanbulspor - Trabzonspor 1:6 ✺

10.01.2026 Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor 0:3 ✺

29.12.2025 Adana Demirspor - İstanbulspor 1:5 ✺

21.12.2025 İstanbulspor - Vanspor 1:3 ✺

17.12.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Keçiörengücü

15.01.2026 Beşiktaş - Keçiörengücü 3:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Keçiörengücü - Hatayspor 5:0 ✺

28.12.2025 Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor 3:1 ✺

24.12.2025 Keçiörengücü - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 3:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü 2:2 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Amedspor	24	15	4	5	53:28	25	49
2	Erzurumspor	24	13	9	2	44:18	26	48
3	Erokspor	24	13	8	3	55:20	35	47
4	Bodrumspor	24	12	6	6	49:20	29	42
5	Corum	24	12	5	7	36:26	10	41
6	Pendikspor	24	10	9	5	34:21	13	39
7	Igdir FK	24	10	7	7	33:32	1	37
8	Keciorengucu	24	9	9	6	46:28	18	36
9	Bandirmaspor	24	10	6	8	32:25	7	36
10	Boluspor	24	10	5	9	42:32	10	35
11	Vanspor FK	24	9	7	8	33:24	9	34
12	Manisa FK	24	9	7	8	36:34	2	34
13	Istanbulspor AS	24	7	11	6	31:33	-2	32
14	Sivasspor	24	7	9	8	27:24	3	30
15	Sariyer	24	9	3	12	24:32	-8	30
16	Umraniyespor	24	8	4	12	27:31	-4	28
17	Serik Spor	24	7	5	12	24:46	-22	26
18	Sakaryaspor	24	6	5	13	32:45	-13	23
19	Hatayspor	24	0	7	17	18:65	-47	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	24	0	2	22	15:107	-92	-28

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to