Result
2:2
19/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (251/346) | 80% (295/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (251/346) | 80% (295/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/70) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (49/83) | 67% (79/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Akdag I. 🟨,
- 25', Ozer Y. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Sambissa D. ⚽, Duhaney D. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Karaogul I. ⚽, Dere A. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Wellington Nascimento ⚽, Karaogul I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 2, Gultekin E. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
- 61', Temel V. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
- 64', Bulut H. 🟨,
- 71', Sahin D. 🟨,
- 72', Diouf M. 🟨,
- 76', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
- 76', Fernandes J. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
- 79', Gultekin E. ↓, Krstovski M. ↑,
- 79', Sambissa D. ↓, Bahadir Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Mamadou M. ↓, Cham A. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbulspor 35.4% | Draw 26.9% | Keçiörengücü 37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↑ (2.36) |
3.42 ↓ (3.46) |
2.43 ↓ (2.75) |
9.1% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - İstanbulspor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - İstanbulspor (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 0.
- İstanbulspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Keçiörengücü is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ay F. K.
(Red Card)
Aydin D.
(Knee Injury)
Ologo Inainfe M.
(Broken Leg)
Vardar B.
(Illness)
Yilmaz A. S.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B.
(Suspended)
Tasbakir R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbulspor won against Keçiörengücü?
İstanbulspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against İstanbulspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
16.08.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
İstanbulspor
0:0
12.04.2025
İstanbulspor
-
Keçiörengücü
0:2
08.12.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
İstanbulspor
2:1
Latest results of İstanbulspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amedspor | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Erzurumspor | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 37:17 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 38 |
| 4 | Pendikspor | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Corum | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 33 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Boluspor | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38:23 | 15 | 32 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 30 |
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 30 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:21 | 6 | 28 |
| 12 | Sivasspor | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 28 |
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 30:32 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Manisa FK | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 16 | Serik Spor | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25:30 | -5 | 24 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 21 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 18:57 | -39 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 21 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15:92 | -77 | -28 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to