Result
2:2
19/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (251/346) | 80% (295/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (251/346) | 80% (295/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/70) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (49/83) | 67% (79/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Akdag I. 🟨,
- 25', Ozer Y. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Sambissa D. ⚽, Duhaney D. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Karaogul I. ⚽, Dere A. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Wellington Nascimento ⚽, Karaogul I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 2, Gultekin E. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
- 61', Temel V. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
- 64', Bulut H. 🟨,
- 71', Sahin D. 🟨,
- 72', Diouf M. 🟨,
- 76', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
- 76', Fernandes J. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
- 79', Gultekin E. ↓, Krstovski M. ↑,
- 79', Sambissa D. ↓, Bahadir Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Mamadou M. ↓, Cham A. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbulspor
35.4% | Draw
26.9% | Keçiörengücü
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.36) |
3.42 ↓
(3.46) |
2.43 ↓
(2.75) |
9.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - İstanbulspor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - İstanbulspor (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 0.
- İstanbulspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Keçiörengücü is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ay F. K.
(Red Card)
Aydin D.
(Knee Injury)
Ologo Inainfe M.
(Broken Leg)
Vardar B.
(Illness)
Yilmaz A. S.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B.
(Suspended)
Tasbakir R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbulspor won against Keçiörengücü?
İstanbulspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against İstanbulspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
16.08.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
İstanbulspor
0:0
12.04.2025
İstanbulspor
-
Keçiörengücü
0:2
08.12.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
İstanbulspor
2:1
Latest results of İstanbulspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:51 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
