Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I Paksi SE - Kecskemeti
Result
1:1
23/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OTP Bank Liga - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.94
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
74% (296/400)79% (375/474)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.77
Total shots
915
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
28
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
74% (296/400)79% (375/474)
Long passes
32% (21/66)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
59% (80/136)68% (102/151)
Crosses
24% (5/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.02
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1216
Tackles
71% (12/17)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
3925
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.771.87
Goals prevented
-0.230.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Bode D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mezei S. , Silye E. ,
  • 46', Toth B. , Szabo J. ,
  • 66', Meskhi M. , Paszka L. ,
  • 66', Palinkas G. , Lopez M. ,
  • 66', Montiel C. , Camaj D. ,
  • 66', Nagy K. , Majer M. ,
  • 68', Vecsei B. , Haraszti Z. ,
  • 75', Windecker J. , Konyves N. ,
  • 81', Vattay M. , Kovacs B. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Majer M. , Camaj D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paksi SE
71.5%
Draw
17%
Kecskemeti
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 22% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.1% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paksi SE's performance.
  • Kecskemeti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kecskemeti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paksi SE that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kecskemeti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paksi SE - Kecskemeti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.58)
    5.48
    (4.2)
    8.09
    (4.75)
    6.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Kecskemeti?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 74.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paksi SE will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paks is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    • Kecskemeti is Relegated to Merkantil Bank Liga
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2.
    • Paks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kecskemeti is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Paks has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Paks is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paks won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Kecskemeti were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Kecskemeti - Paksi SE 2:2
    27.10.2024 Paksi SE - Kecskemeti 1:0
    05.05.2024 Kecskemeti - Paksi SE 0:0
    11.02.2024 Paksi SE - Kecskemeti 1:0
    07.10.2023 Kecskemeti - Paksi SE 1:1
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    18.05.2025 Debreceni - Paksi SE 0:0
    14.05.2025 Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE 1:2
    10.05.2025 Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi 2:3
    04.05.2025 Videoton - Paksi SE 0:2
    26.04.2025 Győri ETO - Paksi SE 2:0
    Latest results of Kecskemeti
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Debrecen21104:314
    2Ujpest11003:123
    3Puskas Academy11002:113
    4Gyor10103:301
    5Paks10103:301
    6Zalaegerszegi10103:301
    7Ferencvaros10101:101
    8Kisvarda10101:101
    9Nyiregyhaza10101:101
    10MTK Budapest20111:2-11
    11Kazincbarcikai10011:2-10
    12DVTK10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.