Result
1:1
23/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (296/400) | 79% (375/474) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (296/400) | 79% (375/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/66) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (80/136) | 68% (102/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Bode D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mezei S. ↓, Silye E. ↑,
- 46', Toth B. ↓, Szabo J. ↑,
- 66', Meskhi M. ↓, Paszka L. ↑,
- 66', Palinkas G. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 66', Montiel C. ↓, Camaj D. ↑,
- 66', Nagy K. ↓, Majer M. ↑,
- 68', Vecsei B. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
- 75', Windecker J. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
- 81', Vattay M. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Majer M. ⚽, Camaj D. (A),
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
71.5% | Draw
17% | Kecskemeti
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paksi SE's performance.Kecskemeti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kecskemeti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paksi SE that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kecskemeti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paksi SE - Kecskemeti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.58) |
5.48 ↑
(4.2) |
8.09 ↑
(4.75) |
6.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Kecskemeti?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Kecskemeti (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Paks (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Paksi SE will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paksi SE will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Kecskemeti (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paks is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
- Kecskemeti is Relegated to Merkantil Bank Liga
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2.
- Paks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kecskemeti is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Paks has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Paks is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paks won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Kecskemeti?
Paksi SE has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kecskemeti won against Paksi SE?
Kecskemeti has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Kecskemeti were as follows:
02.03.2025
Kecskemeti
-
Paksi SE
2:2
27.10.2024
Paksi SE
-
Kecskemeti
1:0
05.05.2024
Kecskemeti
-
Paksi SE
0:0
11.02.2024
Paksi SE
-
Kecskemeti
1:0
07.10.2023
Kecskemeti
-
Paksi SE
1:1
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Kecskemeti
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 53:28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 4 | Zalaegerszegi | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Paks | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 38:45 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | DVTK | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 26:55 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
