Finn Harps vs Kerry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Division 1 Finn Harps - Kerry
Result
1:1
13/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 34

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
14
Total shots
46
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Palmer L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Place M. , Lomboto G. ,
  • 46', Mpongo H. , Coyle D. ,
  • 58', Perez R. , Brosnan C. ,
  • 66', Bangoura I. , Bradley S. ,
  • 67', Palmer L. , Okwute D. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Bradley S. ,
  • 72', McLaughlin A. , Cunningham D. ,
  • 87', Barrett F. , Doolan L. ,

Chances of winning


Finn Harps
36.9%
Draw
29.2%
Kerry
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.1% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.3% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Finn Harps's form might have worsened.
  • Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Finn Harps, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kerry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Finn Harps - Kerry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.1)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    2.76
    (3.1)
    6.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Finn Harps - Kerry?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Finn Harps will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kerry will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kerry: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 3.
    • Finn Harps has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kerry has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kerry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Finn Harps will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finn Harps - Kerry were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Kerry - Finn Harps 0:1
    18.04.2025 Finn Harps - Kerry 4:2
    14.02.2025 Kerry - Finn Harps 2:0
    27.09.2024 Kerry - Finn Harps 1:1
    04.07.2024 Finn Harps - Kerry 1:0
    Latest results of Finn Harps
    10.10.2025 Dundalk - Finn Harps 3:0
    26.09.2025 Cobh Ramblers - Finn Harps 4:1
    22.09.2025 Finn Harps - Wexford 1:3
    12.09.2025 Finn Harps - Cork City 0:3
    Latest results of Kerry
    10.10.2025 Kerry - Wexford 0:2
    05.10.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Kerry 6:1
    26.09.2025 Kerry - Treaty United 1:1
    22.09.2025 Athlone Town - Kerry 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cobh Ramblers (2)Treaty United (5)0 : 1
    2Bray (3)UC Dublin (4)1 : 0