Khenchela vs USM Alger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Algerian Ligue 1 Khenchela - USM Alger
Result
1:0
11/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Zenasni A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Debbih C. , Saidi Z. ,
  • 59', Oukil A. , Bougoursa W. ,
  • 59', Guemroud M. , Meddour Z. ,
  • 60', Sameur A. 🟨,
  • 62', Alli W. M. , Bousseliou K. ,
  • 62', Khaldi A. , Radouani S. ,
  • 74', Benzaza B. , Mechid D. E. ,
  • 77', Zenasni A. , Ngolo Christopher S. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Djaouchi H. ,
  • 89', Djaouchi H. , Mohamed T. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Khenchela
43.2%
Draw
31.4%
USM Alger
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 30.4% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 29.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Khenchela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USM Alger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khenchela than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Khenchela - USM Alger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.41)
    2.94
    (3.04)
    3.63
    (2.94)
    8.4%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Khenchela - USM Alger?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Khenchela will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). USM Alger will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Khenchela: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khenchela won 1.
    • Khenchela has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • USM Alger's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • USM Alger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Khenchela will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Khenchela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Khenchela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Khenchela - USM Alger were as follows:
    05.02.2025 USM Alger - Khenchela 3:0
    16.02.2024 Khenchela - USM Alger 1:0
    14.10.2023 USM Alger - Khenchela 3:0
    12.04.2023 USM Alger - Khenchela 2:0
    02.09.2022 Khenchela - USM Alger 0:1
    Latest results of Khenchela
    03.06.2025 Constantine - Khenchela 2:1
    25.05.2025 ES Sétif - Khenchela 0:1
    10.05.2025 Khenchela - Oran 2:1
    18.04.2025 Khenchela - Paradou 2:2
    Latest results of USM Alger
    23.05.2025 MC Alger - USM Alger 1:0
    17.05.2025 Paradou - USM Alger 3:1
    11.05.2025 USM Alger - Constantine 2:1
    30.04.2025 USM Alger - ASO Chlef 1:2
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger301513239:192058
    2Kabylie30168642:271556
    3CR Belouizdad301510544:212355
    4Saoura301271134:36-243
    5Paradou301181141:39241
    6ES Setif301181121:24-341
    7USM Alger3010101026:26040
    8Oran301241432:33-140
    9Khenchela301171228:38-1040
    10Constantine30912931:31039
    11Olympique Akbou309101124:23137
    12El Bayadh30991223:26-336
    13ASO Chlef307131024:27-334
    14Mostaganem308101223:31-834
    15Magra307101323:35-1231
    16Biskra303111612:31-1920

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2