Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Kigali 44.9% | Draw 31% | Etincelles 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Kigali - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.09) |
2.92 ↑ (2.83) |
3.75 ↑ (3.52) |
10.6% (11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Kigali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Etincelles has had a series of home games.
- Kigali might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Etincelles?
Kigali has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Kigali?
Etincelles has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Etincelles were as follows:
03.01.2026
Etincelles
-
Kigali
0:1
19.05.2025
Kigali
-
Etincelles
2:2
07.01.2025
Etincelles
-
Kigali
1:0
06.12.2023
Etincelles
-
Kigali
4:2
24.02.2023
Etincelles
-
Kigali
2:2
Latest results of Etincelles
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | APR | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 36:19 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Marines | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Musanze | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 26 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 14:32 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation