Result
2:2
19/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', 1 - 0, Tshabalala S. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 1, Nsabimana H. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 1, Rudasingwa P. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 2, Niyonkuru S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kigali
33.7% | Draw
30% | Etincelles
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kigali's form might have worsened.Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Etincelles's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kigali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Etincelles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kigali - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(1.98) |
3.01 ↑
(2.89) |
2.49 ↓
(3.96) |
10.8%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Kigali - Etincelles?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Etincelles will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 1.
- Kigali is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Etincelles is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kigali has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Kigali is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Etincelles?
Kigali has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Kigali?
Etincelles has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Etincelles were as follows:
07.01.2025
Etincelles
-
Kigali
1:0
06.12.2023
Etincelles
-
Kigali
4:2
24.02.2023
Etincelles
-
Kigali
2:2
Latest results of Etincelles
Rwanda Premier League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | APR | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 46:17 | 29 | 67 |
| 2 | Rayon Sport | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 63 |
| 3 | AS Kigali | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 49 |
| 4 | Police | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | Mukura Victory Sports | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | Bugesera | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
| 7 | Gorilla | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Gasogi United | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Rutsiro | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Kiyovu | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 32:51 | -19 | 37 |
| 11 | Amagaju | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 36 |
| 12 | Etincelles | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Musanze | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Marines | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Muhazi United | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 22:29 | -7 | 30 |
| 16 | Vision | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 23:46 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
