Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 6
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (315/412) | 69% (203/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (315/412) | 69% (203/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 22% (13/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (60/109) | 55% (69/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 80 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Anderson B. ⚽, Watson D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Camara P. 🟨,
- 50', Deas R. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Deas R. ⚽, Thompson D. (A),
- 57', Fatah A. ↓, Moller N. ↑,
- 58', Dackers M. 🟨,
- 58', Dolcek I. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
- 64', Kiltie G. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
- 65', Anderson B. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
- 67', Moller N. 🟨,
- 76', Keresztes K. 🟨,
- 78', Camara P. ↓, Naamo D. ↑,
- 78', Iovu I. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
- 83', Eskesen J. 🟨,
- 83', Dackers M. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 84', Polworth L. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 88', Sapsford Z. (Pen),
- 90+3', Brown J. ↓, Schilte-Brown E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dundee United
51.8% | Draw
25.3% | Kilmarnock
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Dundee United - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.92) |
3.7 ↑
(3.65) |
4.11 ↑
(3.53) |
5.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundee United - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee Utd: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Dundee Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kilmarnock has had a series of home games.
- Dundee Utd will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Graham R.
(Muscle Injury)
Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
Trapanovski K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Watters M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Injury)
Tiffoney S.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Kilmarnock?
Dundee United has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Dundee United?
Kilmarnock has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - Kilmarnock were as follows:
17.08.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee United
2:1
01.02.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee United
1:0
07.12.2024
Dundee United
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
28.09.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee United
3:3
24.05.2023
Dundee United
-
Kilmarnock
0:3
Latest results of Dundee United
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Rangers | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Livingston | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
