Result
4:0
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 23
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (592/661) | 67% (167/249) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.76 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (592/661) | 67% (167/249) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (164/204) | 56% (57/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 60% (6/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 3.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', Lowery T. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Just E. ⚽, Slattery C. (A),
- 45', Lowery T. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Sparrow T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Polworth L. ↓, Schjonning-Larsen M. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 0, Said I. ⚽, Longelo E. (A),
- 59', Maswanhise T. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
- 60', Sparrow T. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
- 60', Kiltie G. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 60', Deas R. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 66', Dackers M. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 70', Just E. ↓, Stamatelopoulos A. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 0, Fadinger L. ⚽, Bjorgolfsson E. (A),
- 83', Priestman O. ↓, McColm R. ↑,
- 83', Said I. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
- 89', John-Jules T. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motherwell
63% | Draw
23.2% | Kilmarnock
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Motherwell - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5
(1.5) |
4.1 ↑
(3.94) |
6.77 ↓
(7.17) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 79.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 2.
- Motherwell is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kilmarnock is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Motherwell is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Charles-Cook R.
(Inactive)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Halliday A.
(Inactive)
Watt E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Watkins M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Kilmarnock?
Motherwell has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Motherwell?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Kilmarnock were as follows:
22.11.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
1:3
30.08.2025
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
14.05.2025
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
3:0
05.04.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
2:0
08.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
0:0
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
