Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 13
- Referee: Lee R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/339) | 82% (411/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/339) | 82% (411/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/99) | 73% (73/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 71% (5/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Lowery T. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Longelo E. (A),
- 21', Koutroumbis J. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 2, Maswanhise T. ⚽,
- 45+2', Hendry C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lowery T. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Tiffoney S. ⚽, Anderson B. (A),
- 57', Slattery C. 🟨,
- 63', Hendry C. ↓, Stamatelopoulos A. ↑,
- 63', Longelo E. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
- 63', Slattery C. ↓, Just E. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Stamatelopoulos A. (Pen),
- 71', Anderson B. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
- 71', Kiltie G. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 76', Maswanhise T. ↓, Sparrow T. ↑,
- 78', Williams Z. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 78', Brown J. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
- 81', Stamatelopoulos A. 🟨,
- 85', Gordon L. 🟨,
- 89', Fadinger L. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
29.4% | Draw
28.1% | Motherwell
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kilmarnock - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.86) |
3.37 ↑
(3.31) |
2.29 ↓
(2.43) |
5%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
- Kilmarnock has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Motherwell has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Motherwell: McGhee J.
(Thigh Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
O'Donnell S.
(Injury)
Oxborough A.
(Hand Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
Sule E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Lyons B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Motherwell will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Motherwell?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Kilmarnock?
Motherwell has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Motherwell were as follows:
30.08.2025
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
14.05.2025
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
3:0
05.04.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
2:0
08.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
0:0
20.12.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 34:13 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Celtic | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Rangers | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 | St. Mirren | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Dundee FC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 13 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
| 12 | Livingston | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17:31 | -14 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
