Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 4
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (593/675) | 69% (169/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (593/675) | 69% (169/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (124/181) | 51% (33/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Daniels D. ⚽, Lyons B. (A),
- 27', Daniels D. 🟨,
- 43', Watt E. 🟨,
- 44', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Maswanhise T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Daniels D. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 46', Lyons B. ↓, Lowery T. ↑,
- 52', Deas R. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Longelo E. ⚽,
- 70', Polworth L. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 70', Anderson B. ↓, Magennis K. ↑,
- 74', Said I. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 74', Watt E. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 74', Maswanhise T. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Stanger G. ⚽,
- 83', Stanger G. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 84', Magennis K. 🟨,
- 88', O'Donnell S. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
- 90+3', Dackers M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gordon L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motherwell
48.4% | Draw
26.9% | Kilmarnock
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Motherwell - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.09) |
3.49 ↑
(3.49) |
3.8 ↑
(3.46) |
5.5%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motherwell will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 2.
- In recent matches, Motherwell has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kilmarnock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kilmarnock has had a series of home games.
- Motherwell will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Tiffoney S.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Maswanhise T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Kilmarnock?
Motherwell has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Motherwell?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Kilmarnock were as follows:
14.05.2025
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
3:0
05.04.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
2:0
08.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
0:0
20.12.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
18.08.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | St. Mirren | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Rangers | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
