Result
3:0
14/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 37
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (512/579) | 71% (188/266) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (512/579) | 71% (188/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 44% (35/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (142/179) | 56% (55/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (13/31) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 3.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Deas R. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Vassell K. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 46', Paton H. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
- 46', Anderson B. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 60', McKenzie R. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 63', Watt T. ↓, Ebiye M. ↑,
- 71', Armstrong D. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽, O'Donnell S. (A),
- 78', Sparrow T. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
- 80', Watson D. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 0, Slattery C. ⚽, Ebiye M. (A),
- 86', 3 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽, Miller L. (A),
- 88', Miller L. ↓, Zdravkovski D. ↑,
- 88', Slattery C. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
- 89', Murray F. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motherwell
35.1% | Draw
29.7% | Kilmarnock
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Motherwell - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.8) |
3.21 ↓
(3.31) |
2.68 ↑
(2.53) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kilmarnock: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kilmarnock will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 1.
- Motherwell has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kilmarnock is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Balmer K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Blaney S.
(Knee Injury)
Gordon L.
(Concussion)
McGinn P.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Magennis K.
(Injury)
Wright J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Mair A.
(Hand Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Stamatelopoulos A.
(Wrist Injury)
Vale J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Lyons B.
(Inactive)
Watson D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Kilmarnock?
Motherwell has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Motherwell?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Kilmarnock were as follows:
05.04.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
2:0
08.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
0:0
20.12.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
18.08.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
03.02.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dundee FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
