Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 4
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 1.24 |
Ball Possession |
---|
73% | 27% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
88% (593/675) | 69% (169/244) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 1.24 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.00 | 2.15 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
88% (593/675) | 69% (169/244) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (29/48) | 40% (25/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (124/181) | 51% (33/65) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (7/22) | 50% (6/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.18 | 0.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (5/7) | 73% (16/22) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.15 | 2.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.15 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Daniels D. ⚽, Lyons B. (A),
- 27', Daniels D. 🟨,
- 43', Watt E. 🟨,
- 44', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Maswanhise T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Daniels D. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 46', Lyons B. ↓, Lowery T. ↑,
- 52', Deas R. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Longelo E. ⚽,
- 70', Polworth L. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 70', Anderson B. ↓, Magennis K. ↑,
- 74', Said I. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 74', Watt E. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 74', Maswanhise T. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Stanger G. ⚽,
- 83', Stanger G. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 84', Magennis K. 🟨,
- 88', O'Donnell S. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
- 90+3', Dackers M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gordon L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motherwell 48.4% | Draw 26.9% | Kilmarnock 24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Motherwell - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.09) |
3.49 ↑ (3.49) |
3.8 ↑ (3.46) |
5.5% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motherwell will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 2.
- In recent matches, Motherwell has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kilmarnock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kilmarnock has had a series of home games.
- Motherwell will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Tiffoney S.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Maswanhise T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Kilmarnock?
Motherwell has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Motherwell?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Kilmarnock were as follows:
14.05.2025
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
3:0
05.04.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
2:0
08.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
0:0
20.12.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
18.08.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 10 |
2 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
6 | Motherwell | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Falkirk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
10 | St. Mirren | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
11 | Dundee FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
12 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )