Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 30
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.35
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
79
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
51
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
1719
Offsides
22
Fouls
1917
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
20
Throw-ins
1820
Touches in the Opposition Box
269
Passes
74% (286/386)66% (184/279)
Passes in the final third
57% (70/123)53% (39/74)
Crosses
24% (6/25)20% (2/10)
Tackles
88% (15/17)82% (14/17)
Clearances Total
2540
Interceptions
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Rivas R. , Alici B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Alici B. ,
  • 63', Osmanpasa C. , Yalcin S. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes (Pen),
  • 77', Vukovic J. , Celik C. ,
  • 77', Marcao , Gedik E. ,
  • 77', Alici B. , Tunali M. ,
  • 80', Yalcin S. 🟨,
  • 84', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
  • 84', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gurpuz G. , Dursun S. ,
  • 90+4', Serginho , Dovedan N. ,
  • 90+5', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Wesley Moraes 🟨,
  • 90+7', Wesley Moraes 🟨,
  • 90+9', Celik C. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Camacho J. , Dabanli B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.6%
Draw
30.3%
Kocaelispor
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 29.7% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.5% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.64)
    3.06
    (3.12)
    2.65
    (2.64)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK32104:227
    3Bodrumspor31205:325
    4Erokspor31117:344
    5Bandirmaspor31115:324
    6Erzurumspor21104:224
    7Pendikspor21103:124
    8Keciorengucu21103:124
    9Igdir FK31114:404
    10Sakaryaspor31115:6-14
    11Serik Spor31111:5-44
    12Manisa FK21013:303
    13Umraniyespor21012:203
    14Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    15Boluspor20113:4-11
    16Sariyer30123:5-21
    17Amedspor20112:4-21
    18Sivasspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor30122:9-7-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation