Result
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 30
- Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (286/386) | 66% (184/279) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (70/123) | 53% (39/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 20% (2/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Rivas R. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 1, Alici B. ⚽,
- 63', Osmanpasa C. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes (Pen),
- 77', Vukovic J. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
- 77', Marcao ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
- 77', Alici B. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
- 80', Yalcin S. 🟨,
- 84', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
- 84', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 90', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Gurpuz G. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 90+4', Serginho ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 90+5', Oguz A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Wesley Moraes 🟨,
- 90+7', Wesley Moraes 🟨,
- 90+9', Celik C. 🟨,
- 90+12', Camacho J. ↓, Dabanli B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.6% | Draw
30.3% | Kocaelispor
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.64) |
3.06 ↓
(3.12) |
2.65 ↑
(2.64) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Kocaelispor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Kocaelispor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
02.11.2024
Kocaelispor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:1
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Sakaryaspor | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
