Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 30
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.35
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
79
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
51
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
1719
Offsides
22
Fouls
1917
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
20
Throw-ins
1820
Touches in the Opposition Box
269
Passes
74% (286/386)66% (184/279)
Passes in the final third
57% (70/123)53% (39/74)
Crosses
24% (6/25)20% (2/10)
Tackles
88% (15/17)82% (14/17)
Clearances Total
2540
Interceptions
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Rivas R. , Alici B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Alici B. ,
  • 63', Osmanpasa C. , Yalcin S. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes (Pen),
  • 77', Vukovic J. , Celik C. ,
  • 77', Marcao , Gedik E. ,
  • 77', Alici B. , Tunali M. ,
  • 80', Yalcin S. 🟨,
  • 84', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
  • 84', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gurpuz G. , Dursun S. ,
  • 90+4', Serginho , Dovedan N. ,
  • 90+5', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Wesley Moraes 🟨,
  • 90+7', Wesley Moraes 🟨,
  • 90+9', Celik C. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Camacho J. , Dabanli B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.6%
Draw
30.3%
Kocaelispor
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 29.7% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.5% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.64)
    3.06
    (3.12)
    2.65
    (2.64)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Adana Demirspor00000:000
    2Istanbulspor AS00000:000
    3Sakaryaspor00000:000
    4Amedspor00000:000
    5Hatayspor00000:000
    6Pendikspor00000:000
    7Sariyer00000:000
    8Sivasspor00000:000
    9Boluspor00000:000
    10Vanspor FK00000:000
    11Bandirmaspor00000:000
    12Keciorengucu00000:000
    13Umraniyespor00000:000
    14Erzurumspor00000:000
    15Corum00000:000
    16Bodrumspor00000:000
    17Manisa FK00000:000
    18Erokspor00000:000
    19Serik Spor00000:000
    20Igdir FK00000:000

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation