Greuther Fürth vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.593.22
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
48
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (340/415)80% (372/465)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
2.593.22
xG on target (xGOT)
3.402.11
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
1213
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
48
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2822
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
82% (340/415)80% (372/465)
Long passes
49% (31/63)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
63% (74/118)65% (66/101)
Crosses
20% (4/20)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.481.22
Fouls
1815
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4349
Clearances Total
2620
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
2.113.40
Goals prevented
1.112.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Futkeu N. , Massimo R. (A),
  • 13', Schmied J. 🟨,
  • 38', Kainz F. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Waldschmidt L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rondic I. , Downs D. ,
  • 46', Kainz F. , Ljubicic D. ,
  • 56', Lemperle T. 🟨,
  • 62', Waldschmidt L. , Uth M. ,
  • 69', Futkeu N. , Consbruch J. ,
  • 69', Pauli J. , Olesen M. ,
  • 70', Huseinbasic D. 🟨,
  • 71', Uth M. 🟨,
  • 79', Loosli N. , Jung G. ,
  • 82', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
  • 88', Massimo R. , Meyerhofer M. ,
  • 88', Klaus F. , Srbeny D. ,
  • 89', Dietz M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Greuther Fürth
26.8%
Draw
27.2%
Köln
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 25.8% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 26% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Greuther Fürth - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.2)
    3.45
    (3.7)
    2.06
    (2.15)
    6.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Köln?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Köln (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Köln (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Köln (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Köln will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.81%97.41%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Köln will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 14 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Köln will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Gazibegovic J. (Ankle Injury) Hubers T. (Illness) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ankle Injury) Telle N. (Illness)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:14 (average 0.4:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Köln were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Köln - Greuther Fürth 1:0
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    Latest results of Köln
    05.04.2025 Köln - Hertha Berlin 0:1
    29.03.2025 Paderborn - Köln 1:2
    20.03.2025 Köln - Verl 1:2
    15.03.2025 Köln - Darmstadt 2:1
    08.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Köln 0:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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