Heidenheim vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:2
10/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 7
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.932.50
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
69
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Passes
82% (394/482)79% (303/384)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.932.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.042.53
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
1013
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
79
Passes
82% (394/482)79% (303/384)
Long passes
55% (38/69)45% (30/66)
Passes in final third
59% (72/123)64% (73/114)
Crosses
26% (5/19)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.922.00
Throw ins
2719
Fouls
97
Tackles
53% (8/15)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3851
Clearances
3234
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
2.532.04
Goals prevented
0.530.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pieringer M. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Martel E. ⚽, Castro-Montes A. (A),
  • 21', Martel E. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Niehues J. ⚽,
  • 44', Ibrahimovic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Huseinbasic D. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
  • 48', 2 - 2, El Mala S. ⚽, Castro-Montes A. (A),
  • 52', Fohrenbach J. 🟨,
  • 60', Schoppner J. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
  • 60', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
  • 62', Schenten F. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
  • 75', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
  • 75', Thielmann J. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
  • 78', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 78', Traore O. H. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
  • 83', Conteh S. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ache R. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
33.8%		Draw
27.5%		Köln
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 26.1% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 25.7% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    Heidenheim - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.81 ↓
    (2.92)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.64)    		 2.45 ↑
    (2.3)    		 5.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Köln will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.8% – 64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 20%). Köln (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Köln (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Heidenheim (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Heidenheim (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Köln (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Kolle A. (Illness) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Waldschmidt L. (Illness) van den Berg R. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Köln were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Heidenheim - Köln 4:1
    13.01.2024 Köln - Heidenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    21.12.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Köln
    05.01.2026 Lugano - Köln 1:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 2:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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