Result
2:3
26/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
- Referee: Meshkov V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/423) | 76% (321/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/423) | 76% (321/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/71) | 43% (33/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (75/119) | 70% (105/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 32% (11/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 3.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 9', 0 - 1, Fomin D. ⚽, Maouhoub E. (A),
- 24', 0 - 2, Bitello ⚽, Miranchuk An. (A),
- 34', 0 - 3, Sergeev I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ignatenko V. ↓, Akhmetov I. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 3, Akhmetov I. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
- 64', Pechenin K. ↓, Galdames T. ↑,
- 64', Rasskazov N. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
- 68', Maouhoub E. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
- 68', Kutitsky A. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
- 72', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 74', Sergeev I. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
- 78', Oleynikov I. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
- 82', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 3, Galdames T. ⚽, Akhmetov I. (A),
- 90+1', Fomin D. ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
- 90+1', Rubens ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Krylya Sovetov
23.9% | Draw
25.9% | Dynamo Moscow
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.8) |
3.81 ↑
(3.4) |
1.9 ↓
(1.93) |
2.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Dynamo Moscow will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Dynamo M is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Rakov V.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Caceres J.
(Yellow Cards)
Chavez L.
(Knee Injury)
Gladyshev Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Majstorovic M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Vityugov M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dynamo M: Maouhoub E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Dynamo Moscow?
Krylya Sovetov has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Krylya Sovetov?
Dynamo Moscow has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
27.08.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:0
05.05.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:3
24.10.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Dynamo Moscow
3:6
28.08.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
5:1
17.08.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:0
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
