Result
2:4
14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (588/663) | 86% (364/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (588/663) | 86% (364/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (42/66) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (144/188) | 81% (103/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.63 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 8', 0 - 1, Riski Ro. ⚽,
- 9', 0 - 2, Jukkola O. ⚽,
- 21', 0 - 3, Soderback M. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 4, Riski Ro. ⚽,
- 33', Cisse I. 🟨,
- 42', Konate P. ↓, Ricardo P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jukkola O. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
- 46', Sadiku A. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
- 55', Pennanen P. 🟨,
- 62', Riski Ro. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 62', Soderback M. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
- 62', Toure M. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
- 62', Arifi D. ↓, Pasanen S. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 4, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽,
- 73', Popovitch A. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
- 74', Veteli J. 🟨,
- 74', Armah B. 🟨,
- 80', Pennanen P. 🟨,
- 81', Stjopin M. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 83', Armah B. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 4, Parzyszek P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
30.1% | Draw
25.1% | Ilves
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KuPS Kuopio's form might have worsened.Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KuPS Kuopio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KuPS Kuopio - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.89 ↑
(2.43) |
4.45 ↑
(3.67) |
2.42 ↓
(2.65) |
-10.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 0.
- KuPS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ilves is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ilves: Kanga J.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Ilves?
KuPS Kuopio has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KuPS Kuopio?
Ilves has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Ilves were as follows:
14.06.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
0:3
21.05.2025
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
3:0
18.01.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
3:4
20.12.2024
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
2:2
24.09.2024
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:0
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 50 |
| 3 | KuPS | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 47 |
| 4 | HJK | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 46 |
| 5 | SJK | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50:37 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 36:44 | -8 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
