Result
0:3
14/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (461/538) | 84% (338/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (461/538) | 84% (338/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (125/178) | 76% (80/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 31', 0 - 1, Popovitch A. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
- 44', 0 - 2, Kanga J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Krasniqi D. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 3, Akinyemi A. ⚽, Kanga J. (A),
- 57', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 60', Sadiku A. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
- 60', Toure M. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
- 68', Akinyemi A. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
- 68', Popovitch A. ↓, Aspegren F. ↑,
- 79', Voutilainen J. 🟨,
- 79', Pennanen P. ↓, Tanninen E. ↑,
- 79', Antwi C. ↓, Hamalainen N. ↑,
- 81', Maenpaa A. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 81', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Moisio J. ↑,
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
39.1% | Draw
27.6% | Ilves
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
KuPS Kuopio - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.25) |
3.41 ↓
(3.44) |
2.86 ↓
(3.12) |
6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
KuPS Kuopio will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, KuPS has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in KuPS: Oksanen J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pasanen S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Ilves?
KuPS Kuopio has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KuPS Kuopio?
Ilves has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Ilves were as follows:
21.05.2025
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
3:0
18.01.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
3:4
20.12.2024
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
2:2
24.09.2024
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:0
18.08.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
1:0
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
