Result
1:1
16/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (540/608) | 87% (384/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (540/608) | 87% (384/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 65% (37/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (133/171) | 81% (102/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Cisse I. 🟨,
- 18', Popovitch A. 🟨,
- 27', Kilo J. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Seidu S. ↓, Pasanen S. ↑,
- 51', Maenpaa A. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Stjopin M. ⚽, Miettunen T. (A),
- 59', Riski Ro. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
- 74', Toure M. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
- 76', Hytonen T. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 76', Stjopin M. ↓, Bakic V. ↑,
- 77', Veteli J. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 80', Savolainen S. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
- 80', Antwi C. ↓, Ruoppi O. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Parzyszek P. ⚽, Ruoppi O. (A),
- 83', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
- 89', Ruoppi O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pennanen P. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ilves
44.2% | Draw
23.2% | KuPS Kuopio
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Ilves - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.04) |
4.02 ↓
(4.05) |
2.94 ↓
(3.18) |
5.8%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ilves - KuPS Kuopio?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). KuPS will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 39% – 74.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 6 - 66.7%). KuPS (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Virtanen O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
Heinonen A.
(Inactive)
Kreidl J.
(Yellow Cards)
Ricardo P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ilves: Riski Ro.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KuPS Kuopio?
Ilves has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Ilves?
KuPS Kuopio has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
14.09.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
2:4
14.06.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
0:3
21.05.2025
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
3:0
18.01.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
3:4
20.12.2024
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
2:2
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 55:31 | 24 | 57 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 51:26 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Ilves | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 59:38 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | SJK | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 58:42 | 16 | 51 |
| 5 | HJK | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 67:40 | 27 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
