KuPS Kuopio vs Lausanne-Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
11/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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germanyGermanyRTL+
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switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 17
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.78
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (396/493)82% (383/469)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.45
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
914
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3138
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Passes
80% (396/493)82% (383/469)
Long passes
58% (42/72)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
65% (73/112)75% (140/187)
Crosses
53% (8/15)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.44
Throw-ins
1220
Fouls
118
Tackles
62% (13/21)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
2716
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.450.85
Goals prevented
0.450.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Armah B. , Savolainen S. ,
  • 55', Voutilainen J. , Pennanen P. ,
  • 71', Butler-Oyedeji N. , Beloko N. ,
  • 71', Lekoueiry B. , Al Saad M. ,
  • 71', Diakite G. , Ajdini A. ,
  • 77', Toure M. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 85', Antwi C. , Konate P. ,
  • 85', Cisse I. , Ricardo P. ,
  • 87', Okoh B. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Sigua G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
28.8%
Draw
25.5%
Lausanne-Sport
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 26.2% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 24.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KuPS Kuopio's performance.
  • Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • KuPS Kuopio - Lausanne-Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.9)
    3.68
    (3.53)
    2.06
    (1.85)
    5.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Lausanne-Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 40.8%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - KuPS (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - KuPS (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tammelan Stadion.
    • KuPS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lausanne-Sport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lausanne-Sport could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in KuPS: Heinonen A. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Injury) Salo R. (Inactive) Savolainen S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Bruchez E. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    07.12.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 0:0
    03.12.2025 Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    30.11.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Thun 2:1
    Draw
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