Result
2:2
04/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (239/310) | 87% (522/599) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (239/310) | 87% (522/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 66% (39/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 73% (134/183) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 7% (2/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kaukua T. ⚽, Silander S. (A),
- 16', Salo R. 🟨,
- 31', Hamalainen N. 🟨,
- 32', Kaukua T. ↓, Salmensuu O. ↑,
- 37', Miettinen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Salo R. ↓, Ruoppi O. ↑,
- 46', Sadiku A. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 46', Paananen J. ↓, Paananen A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Toure M. ⚽,
- 57', Ojala M. ↓, Silas C. ↑,
- 57', Salmensuu O. ↓, Korkko J. ↑,
- 61', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
- 61', Arifi D. ↓, Oksanen J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Ruoppi O. ⚽, Savolainen S. (A),
- 70', Paananen A. 🟨,
- 75', Heinonen A. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Koskela M. ⚽, Korkko J. (A),
- 86', Ruoppi O. 🟨,
- 89', Silander S. ↓, Lehtonen J. ↑,
- 90+4', Lehtonen J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oulu
26.3% | Draw
26.7% | KuPS Kuopio
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oulu - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↓
(4.1) |
3.59 ↓
(3.91) |
2 ↑
(1.83) |
5.2%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oulu - KuPS Kuopio?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Users Predictions:
KuPS Kuopio will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Oulu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.
- KuPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Inactive)
Jokelainen N.
(Yellow Cards)
Kemppainen O.
(Inactive)
Ndione M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in KuPS: Cisse I.
(Yellow Cards)
Pasanen S.
(Knee Injury)
Ricardo P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 11:46. (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:21. (average 0.7:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against KuPS Kuopio?
Oulu has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Oulu?
KuPS Kuopio has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
12.04.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Oulu
1:0
25.03.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Oulu
2:0
22.02.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Oulu
2:1
28.06.2024
Oulu
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:0
08.06.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
Oulu
4:1
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 36:13 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | KuPS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | HJK | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | SJK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | VPS | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 8 | Jaro | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21:33 | -12 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
