Result
3:4 penalties
14/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 10:29, 1 - 0, Shamov I. (G), Shchipanov A. (A), Shchagin A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 06:10, 1 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Koltsov N. (A2)
- 10:17, 1 - 2, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
- 12:15, 2 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Shchagin A. (A), Margarit S. (A2)
- 19:34, 3 - 2, Grzheletsky M. (G), Voronin D. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 13:40, 3 - 3, Fogelnest M. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Grzheletsky M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Margarit S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Petrenko D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Shamov I. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Kuznetskie Medvedi
22.9% | Draw
20.3% | Tolpar
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuznetskie Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuznetskie Medvedi's form might have worsened.Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuznetskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuznetskie Medvedi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(2.75) |
4.52 ↓
(4.9) |
1.62 ↓
(1.98) |
8.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 4.
- Kuznetskie Medvedi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tolpar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kuznetskie Medvedi has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.
- Tolpar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:95. (average 2.4:4.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 2.2:4.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuznetskie Medvedi won against Tolpar?
Kuznetskie Medvedi has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Kuznetskie Medvedi?
Tolpar has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar were as follows:
13.02.2026
Kuznetskie Medvedi
-
Tolpar
3:4
14.10.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
3:4
13.10.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
3:5
28.03.2025
Kuznetskie Medvedi
-
Tolpar
6:3
25.03.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
2:3
Latest results of Kuznetskie Medvedi
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko ✔ | 52 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 235:90 | 90 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 52 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 194:114 | 80 |
| 3 | SKA-1946 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 207:117 | 76 |
| 4 | Krasnaya Armiya | 51 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 172:113 | 75 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | 50 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 195:126 | 73 |
| 6 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 51 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 166:115 | 69 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 51 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 146:116 | 65 |
| 8 | Almaz | 53 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 170:153 | 63 |
| 9 | Din. St. Petersburg | 51 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 169:142 | 62 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tayfun | 54 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 138:142 | 58 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 53 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 134:152 | 57 |
| 3 | SKA-Akademiya | 52 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 146:173 | 55 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 52 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 158:171 | 51 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 53 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 139:157 | 50 |
| 6 | Kapitan | 55 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 141:167 | 49 |
| 7 | Amurskie Tigry | 53 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 122:169 | 48 |
| 8 | Atlant | 52 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 144:166 | 47 |
| 9 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 51 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 117:148 | 43 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 52 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 126:248 | 25 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 52 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 83:275 | 7 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby ✔ | 52 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 194:106 | 74 |
| 2 | Irbis ✔ | 50 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 165:103 | 73 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy ✔ | 49 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 167:120 | 67 |
| 4 | Mamonty Yugry ✔ | 50 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 139:119 | 64 |
| 5 | Avto ✔ | 50 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 166:148 | 63 |
| 6 | Chaika ✔ | 50 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 149:139 | 63 |
| 7 | Tolpar | 49 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 176:137 | 62 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 49 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 150:138 | 57 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 51 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 126:167 | 46 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 52 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 150:111 | 71 |
| 2 | Loko-76 | 50 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 147:111 | 66 |
| 3 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 50 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 170:109 | 65 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 50 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 160:146 | 58 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 53 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 169:205 | 49 |
| 6 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 50 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 117:154 | 42 |
| 7 | Molot Perm | 51 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 130:191 | 38 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 51 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 104:200 | 32 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 50 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 100:207 | 24 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 49 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 100:216 | 21 |
Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Loko is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Omskie Yastreby is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Irbis is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Stalnye Lisy is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Mamonty Yugry is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Avto is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Chaika is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
