Result
3:4 penalties
14/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 13:55, 1 - 0, Shebyakin M. (G), Degtyarev M. (A), Zhuk A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 08:34, 2 - 0, Makarkin A. (G), Degtyarev M. (A), Khusainov R. (A2)
- 15:56, 2 - 1, Gerasimov S. (G), Gubin M. (A), Galochkin S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 06:05, 3 - 1, Akhsyanov B. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Faizov A. (A2)
- 09:31, 3 - 2, Voronin D. (G), Nosov I. (A),
- 12:06, 3 - 3, Gerasimov S. (G), Gubin M. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Faizov A. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Belogurov S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Adamyan A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Gerasimov S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Shamov I. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tolpar
63.5% | Draw
18.3% | Kuznetskie Medvedi
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Kuznetskie Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuznetskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Tolpar - Kuznetskie Medvedi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.51) |
5.05 ↓
(5.4) |
5.07 ↑
(4.51) |
8.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 1.
- In recent matches, Tolpar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kuznetskie Medvedi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tolpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tolpar is the team to beat.
- We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 98:45. (average 4.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:22. (average 5.3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Kuznetskie Medvedi?
Tolpar has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuznetskie Medvedi won against Tolpar?
Kuznetskie Medvedi has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Kuznetskie Medvedi were as follows:
13.10.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
3:5
28.03.2025
Kuznetskie Medvedi
-
Tolpar
6:3
25.03.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
2:3
03.02.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
3:4
17.01.2025
Kuznetskie Medvedi
-
Tolpar
3:4
Latest results of Kuznetskie Medvedi
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 54:16 | 25 |
| 2 | Krasnaya Armiya | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 53:26 | 24 |
| 3 | MHC Spartak | 14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 58:36 | 22 |
| 4 | Dyn. Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 43:32 | 21 |
| 5 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 38:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Almaz | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 39:34 | 18 |
| 7 | SKA-1946 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 50:38 | 16 |
| 8 | Din. St. Petersburg | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 49:38 | 15 |
| 9 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 41:35 | 14 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SKA-Akademiya | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 38:35 | 18 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 38:38 | 17 |
| 3 | Tayfun | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 38:43 | 15 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 39:39 | 15 |
| 5 | Amurskie Tigry | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27:37 | 13 |
| 6 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 37:53 | 12 |
| 7 | Atlant | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 28:38 | 8 |
| 8 | AKM-Junior | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 28:38 | 8 |
| 9 | Kapitan | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 22:37 | 5 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 23:67 | 2 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17:60 | 1 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 61:23 | 24 |
| 2 | Stalnye Lisy | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 54:18 | 24 |
| 3 | Chaika | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38:31 | 18 |
| 4 | Mamonty Yugry | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 36:29 | 18 |
| 5 | Irbis | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 43:42 | 16 |
| 6 | Belye Medvedi | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 44:38 | 16 |
| 7 | Tolpar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 56:41 | 16 |
| 8 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 40:58 | 14 |
| 9 | Avto | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 45:48 | 12 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 45:36 | 16 |
| 2 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 42:29 | 14 |
| 3 | Loko-76 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26:20 | 14 |
| 4 | Molot Perm | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 40:41 | 13 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 45:43 | 12 |
| 6 | Reaktor | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 33:36 | 12 |
| 7 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 20:37 | 9 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 34:54 | 8 |
| 9 | Snezhnye Barsy | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 32:73 | 6 |
| 10 | Tyumensky Legion | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18:56 | 2 |
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