Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka).

J1 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	0.76
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
70% (238/339)	80% (341/428)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.38	0.83
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
18	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
70% (238/339)	80% (341/428)
Long passes
45% (27/60)	40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
59% (87/147)	67% (82/122)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.90
Throw-ins
27	22
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
64% (7/11)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
59	57
Clearances
25	37
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.83	1.38
Goals prevented
0.83	0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Marco Tulio ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
61', Saito K. 🟨,
63', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
63', Saito K. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
64', Leo Gomes ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
64', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
72', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
72', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
79', Rafael Elias ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
79', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
80', Arai Y. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
84', Matsuda T. 🟨,
90+4', Yamada F. 🟨,
90+11', Hirakawa R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kyoto Sanga
43.4%

Draw
29.9%

Tokyo Verdy
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

24.5%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.72)	3.15 ↓ (3.7)	3.52 ↓ (4.24)	6.2% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy?

Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tokyo Verdy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of home games.
Kyoto could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Forearm injury) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Tokyo Verdy?

Kyoto Sanga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Kyoto Sanga?

Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:

25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0

08.12.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 0:0

29.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 2:2

07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 2:1

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga 1:0 ✺

21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama FC 4:3 ✺

05.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
2	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
3	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
4	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
6	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League