Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

: J1 League - Round 18

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.59
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
79% (287/364)	69% (202/293)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.57	0.70
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
20	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
20	10
Passes
79% (287/364)	69% (202/293)
Long passes
41% (25/61)	29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)	56% (46/82)
Crosses
39% (9/23)	46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.54	0.44
Throw-ins
24	14
Fouls
10	20
Tackles
70% (7/10)	40% (4/10)
Duels won
61	53
Clearances
28	23
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.70	0.57
Goals prevented
0.70	-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Takeda S. 🟨,
35', Sato K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Matsuda T. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
66', Sato K. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
67', Hirato T. 🟥,
73', Morita K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
73', Yamami H. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
76', Nagasawa S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
88', Takeda S. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
88', Saito K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
88', Rafael Elias ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
88', Onaga H. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Arai Y. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
37.4%

Draw
31.3%

Kyoto Sanga
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo Verdy's performance.

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyoto Sanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo Verdy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyoto Sanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.93)	2.99 ↓ (3.07)	3.01 ↑ (2.52)	6.2% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Yellow Cards) Gu Sung-Yun (Inactive) Hara T. (Injury) Rafael Elias (Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Kyoto Sanga?

Tokyo Verdy has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Tokyo Verdy?

Kyoto Sanga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

08.12.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 0:0

29.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 2:2

07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 2:1

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

21.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2 ✺

06.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama FC 2:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4 ✺

17.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga 0:3 ✺

11.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 2:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	23	12	8	3	31:20	11	44
2	Vissel Kobe	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
3	Kyoto	23	12	5	6	38:27	11	41
4	Kashima Antlers	23	13	2	8	33:22	11	41
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	23	12	3	8	27:18	9	39
6	Kawasaki Frontale	23	10	8	5	37:24	13	38
7	Machida	23	11	4	8	33:25	8	37
8	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	23	9	6	8	34:30	4	33
10	Gamba Osaka	23	9	4	10	27:30	-3	31
11	Okayama	23	8	6	9	19:20	-1	30
12	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
13	Nagoya Grampus	23	7	7	9	28:30	-2	28
14	Verdy	23	7	7	9	15:23	-8	28
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	23	7	6	10	27:32	-5	27
16	FC Tokyo	23	7	5	11	24:32	-8	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	22	6	5	11	16:30	-14	23
18	Yokohama FC	23	5	4	14	14:28	-14	19
19	Albirex Niigata	23	4	7	12	24:39	-15	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	23	4	6	13	20:32	-12	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan