Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.76
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
70% (238/339)80% (341/428)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.83
Total shots
99
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
70% (238/339)80% (341/428)
Long passes
45% (27/60)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
59% (87/147)67% (82/122)
Crosses
15% (2/13)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.90
Throw-ins
2722
Fouls
1213
Tackles
64% (7/11)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5957
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.831.38
Goals prevented
0.830.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Marco Tulio , Yamada F. ,
  • 61', Saito K. 🟨,
  • 63', Matsuhashi Y. , Inami T. ,
  • 63', Saito K. , Hirao H. ,
  • 64', Leo Gomes , Nakano R. ,
  • 64', Sugai H. , Sato K. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias , Hara T. (A),
  • 72', Fukuda Y. , Kumatoriya I. ,
  • 72', Someno I. , Teranuma S. ,
  • 79', Rafael Elias , Matsuda T. ,
  • 79', Appiah Tawiah H. , Asada S. ,
  • 80', Arai Y. , Toyama S. ,
  • 84', Matsuda T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Yamada F. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Hirakawa R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
43.4%
Draw
29.9%
Tokyo Verdy
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.9% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 24.5% 21.4%

Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(1.72)
3.15
(3.7)
3.52
(4.24)
6.2%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Kyoto (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Kyoto (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Kyoto (4.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of home games.
    • Kyoto could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Forearm injury) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    08.12.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 0:0
    29.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 2:2
    07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kawasaki Frontale110005:33
    2Verdy110003:13
    3Urawa Reds110002:03
    4Machida110003:23
    5FC Tokyo101002:12
    6Kashima Antlers100101:21
    7Yokohama F. Marinos100012:30
    8Kashiwa Reysol100013:50
    9Mito100011:30
    10Chiba100010:20


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Sanfrecce Hiroshima110003:13
    2Nagoya Grampus110001:03
    3Avispa Fukuoka101002:12
    4Vissel Kobe101002:12
    5Gamba Osaka101001:02
    6Kyoto100101:21
    7Okayama100101:21
    8Cerezo Osaka100100:11
    9Shimizu S-Pulse100010:10
    10V-Varen Nagasaki100011:30

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)