Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga
Result
1:0
25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.340.59
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (287/364)69% (202/293)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.340.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.70
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
2010
Passes
79% (287/364)69% (202/293)
Long passes
41% (25/61)29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)56% (46/82)
Crosses
39% (9/23)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.44
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
1020
Tackles
70% (7/10)40% (4/10)
Duels won
6153
Clearances
2823
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.700.57
Goals prevented
0.70-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Takeda S. 🟨,
  • 35', Sato K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 66', Matsuda T. , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 66', Sato K. , Sugai H. ,
  • 67', Hirato T. 🟥,
  • 73', Morita K. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 73', Yamami H. , Someno I. ,
  • 76', Nagasawa S. , Rafael Elias ,
  • 88', Takeda S. , Yonemoto T. ,
  • 88', Saito K. , Meshino S. ,
  • 88', Rafael Elias , Hiraga S. ,
  • 88', Onaga H. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Arai Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
37.4%
Draw
31.3%
Kyoto Sanga
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 30.6% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 30.4% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo Verdy's performance.
  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyoto Sanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo Verdy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyoto Sanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.93)
    2.99
    (3.07)
    3.01
    (2.52)
    6.2%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Yellow Cards) Gu Sung-Yun (Inactive) Hara T. (Injury) Rafael Elias (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 0:0
    29.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 2:2
    07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League