Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.76
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
70% (238/339)80% (341/428)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.83
Total shots
99
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
70% (238/339)80% (341/428)
Long passes
45% (27/60)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
59% (87/147)67% (82/122)
Crosses
15% (2/13)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.90
Throw-ins
2722
Fouls
1213
Tackles
64% (7/11)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5957
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.831.38
Goals prevented
0.830.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Marco Tulio , Yamada F. ,
  • 61', Saito K. 🟨,
  • 63', Matsuhashi Y. , Inami T. ,
  • 63', Saito K. , Hirao H. ,
  • 64', Leo Gomes , Nakano R. ,
  • 64', Sugai H. , Sato K. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias , Hara T. (A),
  • 72', Fukuda Y. , Kumatoriya I. ,
  • 72', Someno I. , Teranuma S. ,
  • 79', Rafael Elias , Matsuda T. ,
  • 79', Appiah Tawiah H. , Asada S. ,
  • 80', Arai Y. , Toyama S. ,
  • 84', Matsuda T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Yamada F. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Hirakawa R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
43.4%
Draw
29.9%
Tokyo Verdy
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.9% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 24.5% 21.4%

Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(1.72)
3.15
(3.7)
3.52
(4.24)
6.2%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of home games.
    • Kyoto could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Forearm injury) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    08.12.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 0:0
    29.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 2:2
    07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers38237858:312776
    2Kashiwa Reysol382112560:342675
    3Kyoto381911862:402268
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima382081046:281868
    5Vissel Kobe3818101046:331364
    6Machida381791252:381460
    7Urawa Reds3816111145:39659
    8Kawasaki Frontale3815121167:571057
    9Gamba Osaka381761553:55-257
    10Cerezo Osaka3814101460:57352
    11FC Tokyo3813111441:48-750
    12Avispa Fukuoka3812121434:38-448
    13Okayama381291734:43-945
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3811111641:51-1044
    15Yokohama F. Marinos381271946:47-143
    16Nagoya Grampus3811101744:56-1243
    17Verdy3811101723:41-1843
    18Yokohama FC38982127:45-1835
    19Shonan Bellmare38882236:63-2732
    20Albirex Niigata384122236:67-3124

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