Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (238/339) | 80% (341/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (238/339) | 80% (341/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (87/147) | 67% (82/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Marco Tulio ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 61', Saito K. 🟨,
- 63', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
- 63', Saito K. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
- 64', Leo Gomes ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 64', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 72', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
- 72', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
- 79', Rafael Elias ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
- 79', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 80', Arai Y. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 84', Matsuda T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Yamada F. 🟨,
- 90+11', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
43.4% | Draw
29.9% | Tokyo Verdy
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.72) |
3.15 ↓
(3.7) |
3.52 ↓
(4.24) |
6.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy?
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tokyo Verdy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of home games.
- Kyoto could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Tokyo Verdy?
Kyoto Sanga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Kyoto Sanga?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
25.05.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
08.12.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:0
29.03.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:2
07.09.2022
Kyoto Sanga
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:1
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
