La Palma vs Ciudad de Lucena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
06/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Barrera S. ,
  • 11', 2 - 0, Suarez M. (Pen),
  • 16', 2 - 1, Cascajo A. ,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Barroso S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 3 - 2, Vargas D. ,

Chances of winning


La Palma
16.7%
Draw
26.1%
Ciudad de Lucena
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 25.7% 58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.8% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • La Palma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Palma than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • La Palma - Ciudad de Lucena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.41
    (5.56)
    3.46
    (3.53)
    1.58
    (1.57)
    10.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches La Palma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ciudad de Lucena is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • La Palma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ciudad de Lucena is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches La Palma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams La Palma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between La Palma - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
    10.03.2024 Ciudad de Lucena - La Palma 1:0
    29.10.2023 La Palma - Ciudad de Lucena 1:0
    Latest results of La Palma
    30.03.2025 Córdoba B - La Palma 3:1
    23.03.2025 La Palma - Ceuta B 0:0
    16.03.2025 Espeleño - La Palma 0:0
    09.03.2025 La Palma - Conil 2:1
    02.03.2025 Cartaya - La Palma 3:3
    Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad de Lucena30197461:214064
    2Dos Hermanas30175864:343056
    3Linense301213542:271549
    4Bollullos301310738:29949
    5Atletico Central30139831:26548
    6Cadiz CF B30139844:321248
    7Conil301271138:40-243
    8San Roque301012837:33442
    9Ceuta B301191031:36-542
    10Pozoblanco301011937:39-241
    11Chiclana309111035:41-638
    12Tomares UD30981330:36-635
    13Cordoba B30971435:42-734
    14CD Utrera30971436:46-1034
    15Atl. Onubense30891330:38-833
    16Sevilla FC C30961531:39-833
    17Castilleja CF30681626:56-3026
    18Coria C.F30381920:51-3117

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation