Result
26:31
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (6 - 14)
- 7', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 19', Nowell J. (Try),
- 19', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Delaporte B. 🟨,
- 39', Durand T. 🟨,
- 40+1', (Penalty Try),
- 2nd Half (20 - 17)
- 41', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 45', Lespiaucq-Brettes Q. (Try),
- 45', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Le Garrec N. (Try),
- 53', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Durand T. (Try),
- 61', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Popelin P. 🟨,
- 69', Le Garrec N. (Penalty Goal),
- 75', Fernandez J. (Try),
- 76', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Castres
72.7% | Draw
4.1% | La Rochelle
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Castres - La Rochelle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.29) |
21.89 ↑
(21.6) |
3.91 ↓
(4.15) |
8.3%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
What is the prediction for Castres - La Rochelle?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:22.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 4.
- Castres has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- La Rochelle has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Castres is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 437:534. (average 21.9:26.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 264:197. (average 29.3:21.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against La Rochelle?
Castres has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Castres?
La Rochelle has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - La Rochelle were as follows:
22.11.2025
La Rochelle
-
Castres
17:19
22.03.2025
La Rochelle
-
Castres
12:12
23.11.2024
Castres
-
La Rochelle
28:24
20.04.2024
Castres
-
La Rochelle
25:24
29.10.2023
La Rochelle
-
Castres
24:27
Latest results of Castres
Latest results of La Rochelle
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
