Result
45:26
26/01/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 20)
- 3', Bosmorin H. (Try),
- 3', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
- 6', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 14', Leyds D. (Try),
- 15', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Serin B. (Try),
- 23', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Serin B. (Penalty Goal),
- 35', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (35 - 6)
- 44', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 47', Abadie E. (Try),
- 47', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Drean G. (Try),
- 51', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Sutidze N. 🟨,
- 59', Isa F. (Try),
- 60', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 70', Drean G. (Try),
- 71', Serin B. (Penalty Goal),
- 80', Le Corvec M. (Try),
- 80+2', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Toulon
81.6% | Draw
3.1% | La Rochelle
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulon's performance.La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Rochelle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Rochelle than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Rochelle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toulon - La Rochelle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.13 ↓
(1.35) |
29.43 ↑
(23.09) |
6.03 ↑
(3.39) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 48.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
What is the prediction for Toulon - La Rochelle?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:17.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulon won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- La Rochelle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Toulon is certain favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Toulon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 359:443 (average 18:22.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toulon won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 192:179 (average 21.3:19.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against La Rochelle?
Toulon has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Toulon?
La Rochelle has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - La Rochelle were as follows:
08.09.2024
La Rochelle
-
Toulon
19:15
15.06.2024
Toulon
-
La Rochelle
29:34
28.04.2024
La Rochelle
-
Toulon
27:17
27.01.2024
Toulon
-
La Rochelle
25:23
06.05.2023
Toulon
-
La Rochelle
8:23
Latest results of La Rochelle
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
