Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lagoa
53.2% | Draw
27.1% | Comércio e Indústria
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagoa's form might have worsened.Comércio e Indústria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Lagoa - Comércio e Indústria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.55) |
3.35 ↓
(3.72) |
4.61 ↓
(5.33) |
10.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Lagoa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Comércio Indústria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lagoa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lagoa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Lagoa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagoa won against Comércio e Indústria?
Lagoa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comércio e Indústria won against Lagoa?
Comércio e Indústria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagoa - Comércio e Indústria were as follows:
14.09.2025
Comércio e Indústria
-
Lagoa
1:1
15.02.2025
Comércio e Indústria
-
Lagoa
1:2
06.10.2024
Lagoa
-
Comércio e Indústria
3:2
Latest results of Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Louletano | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Serpa | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | GD Alcochetense | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 29 |
| 10 | Oriental | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 17:43 | -26 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
