Result
0:1
16/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 1, Vasquez E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lagun Onak 42.6% | Draw 30.3% | Durango 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagun Onak's form might have worsened.Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagun Onak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lagun Onak - Durango Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (1.81) |
3.17 ↓ (3.29) |
3.54 ↓ (4.02) |
4.2% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lagun Onak - Durango?
Users Predictions:
Lagun Onak will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lagun Onak won 3.
- Lagun Onak is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Durango's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lagun Onak is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lagun Onak won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lagun Onak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lagun Onak won against Durango?
Lagun Onak has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Lagun Onak?
Durango has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagun Onak - Durango were as follows:
13.12.2025
Durango
-
Lagun Onak
1:0
17.02.2024
Durango
-
Lagun Onak
0:1
30.09.2023
Lagun Onak
-
Durango
1:0
16.04.2023
Durango
-
Lagun Onak
1:0
17.12.2022
Lagun Onak
-
Durango
2:1
Latest results of Lagun Onak
Latest results of Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 48:31 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Derio | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 19 | 54 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 46:38 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 53:60 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 39 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 34 |
| 15 | Eibar C | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 41:53 | -12 | 33 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:59 | -29 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25:47 | -22 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation