Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (387/464) | 81% (289/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (387/464) | 81% (289/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/65) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (87/130) | 58% (61/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Panthong S. 🟨,
- 40', Schad D. 🟨,
- 42', Khamyok K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Willian Popp 🟨,
- 55', Tapla B. 🟨,
- 56', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
- 66', Moonwong W. ↓, Khotrsupho T. ↑,
- 66', Mlapa P. ↓, Cissokho A. ↑,
- 66', Tapla B. ↓, Kekkonen O. ↑,
- 67', Khotrsupho T. 🟨,
- 74', Tasa K. ↓, Ahannach A. ↑,
- 76', Ralph 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Saric M. ⚽, Strauss J. (A),
- 85', Noiwilai N. ↓, Suriyachai S. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Yodsangwal A. ⚽, Khotrsupho T. (A),
- 90+2', Yodsangwal A. ↓, Churok T. ↑,
- 90+2', Khamyok K. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United
37.7% | Draw
27% | Lamphun Warriors
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muangthong United's form might have worsened.Lamphun Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lamphun Warriors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamphun Warriors than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.12) |
3.37 ↓
(3.48) |
2.59 ↓
(3.06) |
9.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3.
- Muangthong United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lamphun Warriors has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Muangthong United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Lamphun Warriors will win today's game, with odds of 2.75.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Lamphun Warriors?
Muangthong United has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lamphun Warriors won against Muangthong United?
Lamphun Warriors has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors were as follows:
20.12.2025
Muangthong United
-
Lamphun Warriors
0:1
03.10.2025
Lamphun Warriors
-
Muangthong United
2:2
11.01.2025
Lamphun Warriors
-
Muangthong United
1:5
18.08.2024
Muangthong United
-
Lamphun Warriors
1:0
21.04.2024
Muangthong United
-
Lamphun Warriors
2:1
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Lamphun Warriors
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
