Lanús vs Arsenal Sarandí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
07/04/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 10
  • Referee: Delfino G. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTV Publica

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
60.8%
Draw
24.9%
Arsenal Sarandí
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 29.1% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 29.4% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.82)
    3.81
    (3.24)
    6.55
    (4.94)
    5.5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 24).
    • Lanús has the most likely position - 5 (6.24%), project points - 40, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (12.94%), project points - 28, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1.
    • Lanús is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lanús is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Careaga S. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Lanús won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.
    Latest results of Lanús
    01.04.2023 Tigre - Lanús 2:1
    11.03.2023 Belgrano - Lanús 0:0
    04.03.2023 Lanús - River Plate 0:2
    27.02.2023 Racing - Lanús 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4Union de Santa Fe73229:4511
    5San Lorenzo73227:5211
    6Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    7Independiente72419:7210
    8Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia751111:7416
    2Belgrano74309:4515
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5River Plate73137:7010
    6Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    7Huracan72325:6-19
    8Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    9Racing Club72238:9-18
    10Barracas Central72235:6-18
    11Banfield72147:9-27
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi60332:6-43

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