Lanús vs Arsenal Sarandí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
07/04/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 10
  • Referee: Delfino G. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTV Publica

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
60.8%
Draw
24.9%
Arsenal Sarandí
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 29.1% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 29.4% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.82)
    3.81
    (3.24)
    6.55
    (4.94)
    5.5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 24).
    • Lanús has the most likely position - 5 (6.24%), project points - 40, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (12.94%), project points - 28, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1.
    • Lanús is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lanús is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Careaga S. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Lanús won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.
    Latest results of Lanús
    01.04.2023 Tigre - Lanús 2:1
    11.03.2023 Belgrano - Lanús 0:0
    04.03.2023 Lanús - River Plate 0:2
    27.02.2023 Racing - Lanús 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1263314:10421
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)