Result
3:0
07/04/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 10
- Referee: Delfino G. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | TV Publica |
Chances of winning
Lanús 60.8% | Draw 24.9% | Arsenal Sarandí 14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (1.82) |
3.81 ↑ (3.24) |
6.55 ↑ (4.94) |
5.5% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 24).
- Lanús has the most likely position - 5 (6.24%), project points - 40, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (2%).
- Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (12.94%), project points - 28, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1.
- Lanús is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Lanús is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Lanús: Careaga S.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Lanús won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Lanús has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Lanús?
Arsenal Sarandí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)