Lanús vs Arsenal Sarandí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
07/04/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 10
  • Referee: Delfino G. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTV Publica

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
60.8%
Draw
24.9%
Arsenal Sarandí
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 29.1% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 29.4% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.82)
    3.81
    (3.24)
    6.55
    (4.94)
    5.5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 24).
    • Lanús has the most likely position - 5 (6.24%), project points - 40, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (12.94%), project points - 28, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1.
    • Lanús is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lanús is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Careaga S. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Lanús won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.
    Latest results of Lanús
    01.04.2023 Tigre - Lanús 2:1
    11.03.2023 Belgrano - Lanús 0:0
    04.03.2023 Lanús - River Plate 0:2
    27.02.2023 Racing - Lanús 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)